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Ostrich December

Myfrotho704_ said:
Today is... to good on the models, very suspect, but the gefs is trying to pop a +PNA and trying to get that AK vortex retrogression View attachment 56550View attachment 56551
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The gfs wasn't a classic but it wasn't that far off. Should be a fun week or so coming up watching how the north atlantic and the ridge north of AK evolve and how they impact the pattern across the conus. We could easily walk away with some cold rains or even a severe threat or sneak something through and get a respectable winter event.
 
Fountainguy97 said:
Call me when we have this look inside 120 then we can talk.

Lots of noise in the coming days across all models. That is a win at this stage.
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Agreed I'm just excited to see some of the players on the field. The gfs wasn't that bad either by day 9. It's got a weak 50/50 a little nao ridging, a weak western ridge, positive heights north of ak, and a short wave ridge over the NE to help hold the high in. The wheels may fall off in the future but it sure beats some of the turdburgers we've had to eat since Jan 19 gfs_z500a_namer_39 (2).png
 
That's a strong CAD on the CMC. Temperatures absolutely would be colder and we all know how the models love to push lows directly into CAD which never happens. Can't tell you how many times we had a forecast for ZR to change to rain and we get a sleet storm changing over to ZR here.
 
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