Ostrich December

[NCSNOW]

see if the crazy uncle is as crazy for next wednesday as he was last night:

 

[Jessy89]

Suppressed but something to watch the ingredients is there


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[Webberweather53]

I feel like I'm having a Joe Bastardi moment here, but history says +EPO/-AO/-NAOs like this in December usually correct to a deeper eastern US trough w/ the AK vortex retrograding towards the Aleutians.

This ought to be real interesting

 

[accu35]

So close

 

[BufordWX]

I’d say that if I were in OKC right now I’d like my chances of some snow. Looks like models have trended better up there.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

CMC is more like the GFS this run

 

[Tarheel1]

That dog will hunt! GFS coming around to Euro solution for up here!

 

[Ollie Williams]

FWIW, the GEFS is looking much better.

 

[Tarheel1]

CMC is more like the GFS this run View attachment 56503

You got them precip maps? ?

 

[Ollie Williams]

FWIW, the GEFS is looking much better.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Wow ok

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

Wow ok View attachment 56506View attachment 56507

Goodness. That’s wet....said that a time or two before.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[BufordWX]

Dang the GEFS looks really interesting for OKC. They haven’t had that bad of a winter so far.

 

[BirdManDoomW]

Member 18 plz

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Goodness. That’s wet....said that a time or two before.

Some members are basically a few degrees away from some paste bombs, 850s are there

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

#9 looks like it would need to be measured with a yardstick in WNC

 

[BirdManDoomW]

Just what the doctor ordered for ski resorts after this weekend heat. They will see natural heavy wet snow. ️. Christmas skiing is a go.

 

[Webberweather53]

Historically, in -NAO/-AO/+EPOs, the +EPO backs off some and the AK vortex retrogrades towards the Aleutians, opening up the door for +PNA

I played around w/ a few composites, I think this is as close as I can get at a monthly scale for the hemispheric scale pattern in a -AO/-NAO/+EPO during Dec.

I even used an older, cooler base period to try and bias the temperature composite warmer but it's still arguably vodka cold.

View attachment 56498




View attachment 56499

Fwiw, December 1950 can be best described as a complete flizzard fest in east-central NC, at least 6 separate events during the month.

Five total events in Greensboro, four in Charlotte, & three at RDU. I'm sure w/ a few minor synoptic-scale tweaks, we could have ended up w/ at least one big that month.

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

Everyone get God save the queen cued up.