Ostrich December

[Rain Cold]

This was the image the other day that was going to produce a big winter storm:



And here's the tonight's image that won't produce a winter storm:



So we can see there's a little work to be done. Lots of time though. And if the model has the H5 look generally correct, we're going to get to do a LOT of model gazing over the next couple of weeks. I expect some big fantasy storms, IF the H5 look is close to what's being shown.

 

[BirdManDoomW]

Looks like some sleet moving into Shelby. Hickory still seeing snow flurries. Brad P said even Charlotte may see a little tonight.

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

Looks like some sleet moving into Shelby. Hickory still seeing snow flurries. Brad P said even Charlotte may see a little tonight.

Looks like some heavy snow in and around the Gardner Webb area. I started to say, must already be falling from the sky if Brad P says they may see some.

 

[wxdaniel]

This was the image the other day that was going to produce a big winter storm:

View attachment 58395

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I want to make love under this painting....

 

[Myfrotho704_]

The RGEM is a complete joke with CADs

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

The RGEM is a complete joke with CADsView attachment 58399View attachment 58400

Bullseye for you. Stock up on the batteries.

 

[Nomanslandva]

Thank you I did do papers on members who refuse to accept this fact. I will publish the paper here during next cad event in case they forgot.

I will not forget that the NAM was correct for the first 9/10s of this past system and I know the warm nose is always worse than modeled, but not sure you can discount a look like this NW fringe potential event when there is not a secondary low in KY. NAM was dry up here so not sure what it would print out . This is a really unlikely setup to produce though. 00z inbound so we will see if things look different.

 

[Tarheel1]

Chris Justus just predicted 1-2” for the upstate this winter lmaooooo fml

He’s allowed to up it at anytime, but especially when there is already 3” on the ground, what’s goober! The ghost of Dale Gilbert

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Chris Justus just predicted 1-2” for the upstate this winter lmaooooo fml

2.01 it is

 

[Tarheel1]

Jimmy........ incoming!?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Another cold rain

 

[Tarheel1]

It just got real!

 

[Brent]

For this to be 6/8 days away, this is encouraging!!

16 and I could get stuck in Oklahoma for a few days

Not the worst idea I've had lately lmao

 

[Deleted member 1449]

Another cold rain View attachment 58405

 

[Myfrotho704_]

That’s not far from snow if you wet bulb, that’s close to a thread the needle snow sounding

 

[Myfrotho704_]

If it was colder this could literally be a nice band of snow that would provide accumulation

 

[Ollie Williams]

The 18z Euro Control went a few 100-200 miles westward.
with the Baja low.

 

[wxdaniel]

The 18z Euro Control went a few 100-200 miles westward.
with the Baja low.

We need a dislike button...


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[ATLwxfan]

What scenario would even cause 3 to happen?


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Wolverine


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[jjwxman]

Geez.... Monday....

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[Ollie Williams]

Very different look on the 00z ICON. I can’t say I hate it.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Very different look on the 00z ICON. I can’t say I hate it.
View attachment 58411

I’ll pass.... don’t want 2 different types of wedges on Christmas

 

[Rain Cold]

Very different look on the 00z ICON. I can’t say I hate it.
View attachment 58411

Lol yes you can. It's a friendly crowd!

 

[RVD]

What's that near the Montana border?

This is the second 00z run in a row that the GFS has shifted dramatically with its depiction of a shortwave within a reasonably short-range time-frame (happened with the Monday wave yesterday). Gotta love the consistency. We'll see what this does soon enough.

 

[RVD]

What's that near the Montana border?

This is the second 00z run in a row that the GFS has shifted dramatically with its depiction of a shortwave within a reasonably short-range time-frame (happened with the Monday wave yesterday). Gotta love the consistency. We'll see what this does soon enough.
View attachment 58413

Tbh looks like it has a low potential of becoming a clipper event to me.

 

[LickWx]

Lol yes you can. It's a friendly crowd!

I tried to say I’m excited that eventually it will warm up again and I got hit with a bunch of dislikes . The weenie in some people is too intense ! I think @SD should distribute pot to all the weenies .

 

[Myfrotho704_]

What's that near the Montana border?

This is the second 00z run in a row that the GFS has shifted dramatically with its depiction of a shortwave within a reasonably short-range time-frame (happened with the Monday wave yesterday). Gotta love the consistency. We'll see what this does soon enough.
View attachment 58413

Flizzard number 6 under a ULT ???!

 

[Rain Cold]

I tried to say I’m excited that eventually it will warm up again and I got hit with a bunch of dislikes . The weenie in some people is too intense ! I think @SD should distribute pot to all the weenies .

Well then, maybe it's not as friendly as we hoped.

 

[RVD]

Flizzard number 6 under a ULT ???!

Like every system this month, another trend like that and maybe we can see a flake... but I know that trend isn't gonna happen.

 

[jjwxman]

I’ll pass.... don’t want 2 different types of wedges on Christmas View attachment 58412

I Second that. The wind field is insane. I can’t pull the sounding on the Icon but I bet there’s some long curved hodographs.


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[Myfrotho704_]

Looks like there’s some brightbanding in this, wonder if there’s some wet snow aloft

 

[Snowfan]

GFS is a bit faster this run but it's just anafrontal.

 

[TheBatman]

GFS is a bit faster this run but it's just anafrontal.

Thats been a trend for a couple of runs. Maybe a good sign.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Ofc we head the wrong direction with the Baja low, sigh

 

[TheBatman]

Wish it would work out. Not a bad look for middle Tennessee..

 

[Snowfan]

CMC shows a wintry mix again this run in NC.

 

[Snowfan]

GFS shows a Clipper after the antafront on Christmas Day.

 

[BufordWX]

GFS has a high in the mid 20s for Atlanta on Christmas. Lol

 

[SETNwx]

Wish it would work out. Not a bad look for middle Tennessee..View attachment 58416

Middle Tn can do well in these kind of systems.. Chattanooga might see an inch at best, but it's on Christmas, so one inch= 5 on the White Christmas in the South adjusted scale.. (WCITSAS).

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Gfs shows some snow showers on Christmas Day in NC, looked at soundings for fun
Would take In a heartbeat
Frame after