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Pattern October Thread
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
It’s been 6 hours since you said this were not just going to magically make a cold front appear at 180 lol
I don’t think any models had it breaking up at this time even the past few days seems like everything is on track as models have shown past week
Gefs showed pac jet retraction with the AK vortex sliding towards the Aleutians and lowering heights here, now it’s trended much warmer
Before
Now
Cmon cold weenie do better
Iceagewhereartthou
Member
Above average for most of us for the forseeable future, which should make fro happy. I tell you what though; I miss the Octobers of yesteryear, when we could expect 60s and 40s to start rolling in and getting those leaves turning. It was actually a very nice September for my neck of the woods, but October not looking like its going to cooperate. And as for leaf color; I can't remember the last fall with really good widespread color. The last number of years have been late and very dull to almost non existent color for the upstate at least. Maybe connected to the very wet years of late but I would love an old fashioned fall with the cooler nights and bright deep color!
Z
Zander98al
Guest
Constant thunder with this storm. Makes me nervous of a tornado when its at night. As increasing thunder and lighting is indicative of a strengthening updraft.
It gonna be wet! 
Well last nights 00z GFS was a fluke lol 
the pacific pattern is just…. Terrible 
bigstick10
Member
Gee, this is lovely, not, seriously????
Should help some of the big drought areas in the west and plains. That's about all I got.
Maybe the system early next week is a little more impressive and flattens the pattern briefly and we can get a dew point drop.... maybe...
Roll the D7 analogs forward and you end up here around the very end of Oct into early November give or take a few days
Yes.
Lol titled October sucks so here's November?
Gefs continue to try to retrograde us out with a weaker pac jet but they are notorious for trying to do so in the extended (see modeled winter patterns D10+ since 2005 for examples). We get out eventually and probably reverse the anomalies but boy it's going to be tough around here for 2-3 weeks
Looking at the eps spreads the large % of members are 85 or less. We are getting to the point of the year where it's hard to be truly hot I believe RDUs records fall below 90 next week. If anything it's just an incredibly annoying pattern when most of us would rather be in the 70s for highs 50s for lows with dews in the 40s & 50s