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Pattern October Thread

That's impressive
It’s interesting because it can go either way, we destroy the SPV and shuffle the pattern completely, or we get into a pure La Niña influence and get a cold vortex stuck there around AK, willing to go with us changing the pattern, honestly what we’re dealing with right now seems to be a earlier version of the H5 pattern we dealt with last early winter, ridging in Canada/Arctic and little bits of ridging around us, with some cutoffs around us and a constant Bering sea/Aleutian and AK trough, just thought that was a bit interesting DB37C0AC-5752-451A-AC65-CA6F6F70D0EE.png5553F87D-0AF4-45F3-AA5B-D8A8C02539D8.gif
 
It’s interesting because it can go either way, we destroy the SPV and shuffle the pattern completely, or we get into a pure La Niña influence and get a cold vortex stuck there around AK, willing to go with us changing the pattern, honestly what we’re dealing with right now seems to be a earlier version of the H5 pattern we dealt with last early winter, ridging in Canada/Arctic and little bits of ridging around us, with some cutoffs around us and a constant Bering sea/Aleutian and AK trough, just thought that was a bit interesting View attachment 91793View attachment 91794
Yeah it's very similar to last year. The -NAO pac ridge signal is there on some of the analogs but it's hard to see how we get there unless something like the 12z op gfs is right and we just start pounding away with -naos now that just cycle along for most of winter.
 
@SD
Bump. Is it too late to add "Hotober" to the voting list? It was accidentally left off as it was the 2nd suggestion. There are still a few hours left! Or maybe extend the voting hours?
You'll need a pretty massive campaign to garner enough votes. Be sure not to violate campaign finance laws in the process. Good luck!
 
Not sure many realize this, but we had a -nao/ao with a +qbo last winter. Was it all contributed to low solar? Now we have a -qbo. Do we have enough low solar to still get that -nao/ao this winter?
 
Not sure many realize this, but we had a -nao/ao with a +qbo last winter. Was it all contributed to low solar? Now we have a -qbo. Do we have enough low solar to still get that -nao/ao this winter?

No
 
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