Got some wxbell content hold upGfs goes to work on the pvView attachment 91785
Got some wxbell content hold upGfs goes to work on the pvView attachment 91785
That's impressiveSPV killer pattern, very low heights around the Bering sea View attachment 91790View attachment 91791
It’s interesting because it can go either way, we destroy the SPV and shuffle the pattern completely, or we get into a pure La Niña influence and get a cold vortex stuck there around AK, willing to go with us changing the pattern, honestly what we’re dealing with right now seems to be a earlier version of the H5 pattern we dealt with last early winter, ridging in Canada/Arctic and little bits of ridging around us, with some cutoffs around us and a constant Bering sea/Aleutian and AK trough, just thought that was a bit interestingThat's impressive
Yeah it's very similar to last year. The -NAO pac ridge signal is there on some of the analogs but it's hard to see how we get there unless something like the 12z op gfs is right and we just start pounding away with -naos now that just cycle along for most of winter.It’s interesting because it can go either way, we destroy the SPV and shuffle the pattern completely, or we get into a pure La Niña influence and get a cold vortex stuck there around AK, willing to go with us changing the pattern, honestly what we’re dealing with right now seems to be a earlier version of the H5 pattern we dealt with last early winter, ridging in Canada/Arctic and little bits of ridging around us, with some cutoffs around us and a constant Bering sea/Aleutian and AK trough, just thought that was a bit interesting View attachment 91793View attachment 91794
Yes. The response nearly took 2 months last winter to down-wellDo we want a destroyed pv this early when in reality our best chances at least in the south and se is mid December on for snow and ice?
What's happening Oct 15/16 lolTo be honest for at least most of the Carolinas the low temps are making those warmer 2M temp maps more scary then it is in reality, daytime temps are amazing, but those lows are pretty warm View attachment 91801View attachment 91802
Hotober
You'll need a pretty massive campaign to garner enough votes. Be sure not to violate campaign finance laws in the process. Good luck!@SD
Bump. Is it too late to add "Hotober" to the voting list? It was accidentally left off as it was the 2nd suggestion. There are still a few hours left! Or maybe extend the voting hours?
You'll need a pretty massive campaign to garner enough votes. Be sure not to violate campaign finance laws in the process. Good luck!
Not sure many realize this, but we had a -nao/ao with a +qbo last winter. Was it all contributed to low solar? Now we have a -qbo. Do we have enough low solar to still get that -nao/ao this winter?
Yes!Not sure many realize this, but we had a -nao/ao with a +qbo last winter. Was it all contributed to low solar? Now we have a -qbo. Do we have enough low solar to still get that -nao/ao this winter?