• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Pattern October Thread

BufordWX said:
Looks like we may not be done with the 90s just yet. Although the end may hopefully be in sight with some more Falllike cold fronts appearing in the long range GFS.View attachment 91911
Click to expand...

88 Friday from the NWS and 90 next Saturday on the TWC app

It better be short lived lol ?

At least it rained... Some of my Dallas friends said it did not down there
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
From a spatial standpoint, that’s extremely impressive across eastern North America how widespread those AN temps are and something that just isn’t that common, it’s not always about the smaller picture
Click to expand...
Nah yeah rip the NE but the SE chillin I feel like we’ve really been spared by the big heat waves this year they have just bubbled above us
 
Brent said:
88 Friday from the NWS and 90 next Saturday on the TWC app

It better be short lived lol ?

At least it rained... Some of my Dallas friends said it did not down there
Click to expand...

We finally got a couple 15 minute heavy downpours yesterday and just a little while ago today here.

But apparently, thunderstorms just don't happen in Addison any more.
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
View attachment 91932View attachment 91933
Click to expand...
We gonna warm no doubt and with a lack of polar or arctic air and typical airmass moderation when/if we get a decent sfc wedge into the area on the front end of the ridge we might get back to average for a day or 2 before a solid 8-10 AN period. If we get the jet retraction and retrogression we might get into an EC trough in the d14-21 but the potential hyperactive typhoon period upcoming makes me wonder if the models are rushing it or mishandling the evolution. I'm still watching the NAtl over the next few days to see if we start wave breaking and -NAOing. As a whole though if you want fall like air this isn't what you want to see at least in the short term.
 
Last edited:
Definitely interesting seeing what the Gfs is trying to do in regards to keeping low pressure around the SE coast while the ride tries to get going .. we still warm for a while but if that low pressure can stick around long enough it might be able to buy us enough time to get to a good cold front through
 
NickyBGuarantee said:
Definitely interesting seeing what the Gfs is trying to do in regards to keeping low pressure around the SE coast while the ride tries to get going .. we still warm for a while but if that low pressure can stick around long enough it might be able to buy us enough time to get to a good cold front through
Click to expand...
It has no support tho with that solution unfortunately 508A4F8C-867E-46BE-8D2D-87A6A63A618E.png4D89BA8F-08DB-41F7-98D1-23F6DE824780.png
 
NoSnowATL said:
Click to expand...

Not super far off from that 6 to 8 bullseye but seeing the widespread 4 to 6 is already going to spell an extremely wet week. Prob going to exceed the monthly average across most of the northern part of the state in just one week which is pretty crazy. I'm curious to see the final total map on if this overperforms or underperforms. I'll be measuring mby at least.
 
ForsythSnow said:
Not super far off from that 6 to 8 bullseye but seeing the widespread 4 to 6 is already going to spell an extremely wet week. Prob going to exceed the monthly average across most of the northern part of the state in just one week which is pretty crazy. I'm curious to see the final total map on if this overperforms or underperforms. I'll be measuring mby at least.
Click to expand...
It's very unusual to see these kind of totals in October without a tropical system. When I look at these maps I always think in the back of my mind it would be great if it were winter and cold enough for snow lol.
 
smast16 said:
I keeps going the wrong way.
Click to expand...
You’re more in western anyway I suspect you’ll see more than 1 .. all u need is to get lucky with a couple of cells tomorrow and that’ll help .. we will have rain opportunity for the next week so id relax on the my backyard is dry apocalypse talk for now
 
NickyBGuarantee said:
When was the last time the SE was in a major widespread legit drought? I feel like it’s been a while anyone know?
Click to expand...
Oct 2019 was probably the last time a good % of the region was D0 or worse but there have been intermittent periods where lower % parts of the region were D0/1/2 since then. Not sure why region coverage of drought matters though since local drought in convective session seem more likely
 
SD said:
Oct 2019 was probably the last time a good % of the region was D0 or worse but there have been intermittent periods where lower % parts of the region were D0/1/2 since then. Not sure why region coverage of drought matters though since local drought in convective session seem more likely
Click to expand...
I’m just trying to think back to a time the SE as a whole was in significant drought/ constant ridges stuck in that type of pattern for months like I feel like the WEST deals with every other year now … I certainly remember a time in the summer one year when I was a kid where it would just never rain .. don’t see much of that anymore
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top