Pattern October Thread

[GaWx]

I ask out of curiosity but how does 90 degree weather feel with dew points that low .. is sweat even produced or does it feel like a nice spring day i dont know im Curious

I experienced many afternoons in the 80-90 range with 30s dewpoints in the Colorado Rockies at 8,000 feet elevation with beautiful blue skies and I hardly sweat. It was very pleasant and thus enjoyable to be outside and take in the beautiful scenery. The main concern was to protect against sunburns.

Meanwhile, I was outside here a little while ago and it actually felt pretty good with slightly drier air and a gentle N breeze around that low off NC with 70 F.

 

[Brent]

That high of 69 I'm not sure I may just be out all day lol ? even Monday would be the first day below 80 in 4 months

 

[smast16]

Yes I was wrong that smashes own backyard didn’t receive a full inch of rain. Unfortunately meteorologists don’t predict for backyards but more so an area as a whole. area as a whole. Many other areas received at least 1 inch of rain with some areas receiving enough rain to cause flash flooding. You can’t please everyone unfortunately. And you won’t be right for everyone’s backyard as well .. comes with the job. I should have been more clear as to say some areas have the potential to not reach the rainfall potential some models had printed out as rain could be more spotty than expected. I’ll try to do better in the future.

With the amount you complain about it you deserve 0 inches

You’re more in western anyway I suspect you’ll see more than 1 .. all u need is to get lucky with a couple of cells tomorrow and that’ll help .. we will have rain opportunity for the next week so id relax on the my backyard is dry apocalypse talk for now

You came at me bud. If you don't like the heat, then don't start stuff.

Now, just admit it, @jackendrickwx is the better student...

 

[NorthDFWwx]

It could still be better, but the 00z GFS was much improved in the long range, compared to what it showing in the previous several runs.

 

[Tarheel1]

Pattern change! 3 rain events in a week!! That’s more than I’ve had the last 3 months!, and tomorrow’s makes 3! Damn computers! ?

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

cooler weather is on the horizon but it certainly looks like for at least this next week we see highs teetering around 85 again … rip in peace

 

[jackendrickwx]

GFS 3 straight runs of slowing down the front. To be expected but honestly a little earlier than I thought it would happen. Shows Sunday night-early Monday morning

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Hmmm

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

HmmmView attachment 92441View attachment 92442View attachment 92443View attachment 92444

I need some fall severe weather we’ve really been robbed of much this year

 

[NorthDFWwx]

12z GFS is no longer showing the massive troughing / closed low depicted before in the long range.

 

[Arcc]

That is how you drop a cold shot on the SE.

 

[Brent]

So much better than endless 90s

Friday!!!

 

[LovingGulfLows]

HmmmView attachment 92441View attachment 92442View attachment 92443View attachment 92444

The troughing at the 500mb height is meh...most of the forcing is at the 700/850mb heights so it's fairly unremarkable as far as precip or storms.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

The troughing at the 500mb height is meh...most of the forcing is at the 700/850mb heights so it's fairly unremarkable as far as precip or storms.

I didn’t make that post to say there was a threat but a post for something that can trend better

 

[LovingGulfLows]

Thank goodness we(well N GA/Alabama at least) had this rain event recently because dry air largely dominates the GFS through the next two weeks. Should feel nice though with the lower dewpoints in a week or so.

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Certainly love where the euro is headed.. we need to keep those trends going for an official fall transition to take place

 

[Dewpoint Dan]

Thank goodness we(well N GA/Alabama at least) had this rain event recently because dry air largely dominates the GFS through the next two weeks. Should feel nice though with the lower dewpoints in a week or so.

Perfect fall weather. Dry, sunny and low dews is my kinda weather.

 

[Metwannabe]

Everytime sun popped out today this followed nothing Octoberish about this tropical air mass, and 1.90 total yesterday & today

 

[GaWx]

It is good to see that the models have trended so much cooler for midmonth in much of the E US vs what they showed through the Thursday runs of last week. This largely due to westward adjustment of of the mean upper trough into the E US vs well offshore in the runs from Thursday and earlier.

 

[Chazwin]

It is good to see that the models have trended so much cooler for midmonth in much of the E US vs what they showed through the Thursday runs of last week. This largely due to westward adjustment of of the mean upper trough into the E US vs well offshore in the runs from Thursday and earlier.

Before that, I think locations in corridor from Columbia to Fayetteville may have a shot sneaking in one more 90 degree high.