That band is rocking Des Moines. It even has some thunder snow it looks like.Come to papa!View attachment 50665
That band is rocking Des Moines. It even has some thunder snow it looks like.Come to papa!View attachment 50665
Hail is the only severe weather type I don't hate so bring it on lol.This look reminds me of last spring, nice hail setup with long straight Hodographs (supports left splits as well) keep this look and a large hail setup may be possible View attachment 50671View attachment 50672View attachment 50673View attachment 50674
My warmer November prediction may be going down the drain
Yep because cold November pattern in this case with Nina forcing means when the wavelengths reach their full maturity (& lengthen) in DJF, we are going to be in the crest of a ridge. This definitely looks like one of those winters where we will probably need to score early and often in December and January, as most signs point towards a raging +AO/NAO/-PNA in late winter and spring.Honestly, I really didn’t want to see that trading toward the west, this early.
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Yep because cold November pattern in this case with Nina forcing means when the wavelengths reach their full maturity (& lengthen) in DJF, we are going to be in the crest of a ridge. This definitely looks like one of those winters where we will probably need to score early and often in December and January, as most signs point towards a raging +AO/NAO/-PNA in late winter and spring.
Yep to bad we’re not going into late December with that look... probably going be a wet n cooler NovemberNice signal for the MJO to go into PH7-8 into November, even a signal on the analogs, time for “only if Was a month later” setups View attachment 50677
So are phases 7 through 2 what bring cooler weather to the SE?
Yep to bad we’re not going into late December with that look... probably going be a wet n cooler November
It always seems like with 1st years or single year LaNinas that the window for southern winter storms is early... late November to mid January.... 2000-01 and 2010-11 come to mind. Do you think this LaNina is a multi-year event, because if it is that’s bad news for next year... for example 2011-12 was the 2nd year of a LaNina and we all remember how horrible that wasYep because cold November pattern in this case with Nina forcing means when the wavelengths reach their full maturity (& lengthen) in DJF, we are going to be in the crest of a ridge. This definitely looks like one of those winters where we will probably need to score early and often in December and January, as most signs point towards a raging +AO/NAO/-PNA in late winter and spring.
It looks like you need to get into darkness before that's going to stick.
Yep because cold November pattern in this case with Nina forcing means when the wavelengths reach their full maturity (& lengthen) in DJF, we are going to be in the crest of a ridge. This definitely looks like one of those winters where we will probably need to score early and often in December and January, as most signs point towards a raging +AO/NAO/-PNA in late winter and spring.
Id watch the west PAC too here's as we may get a couple of typhoons in the coming weeks. Probably just going to lead toward a nice western trough and SE ridgeThere is an anomaly however, which may cause a temporary displacement for this wavelength. TS EPSILON. I read a blog from Cosgrove and he seems to agree.
Only 7 more months of this ! Sometimes 8! . Crazy how you can snow in October and we can barely snow in winter lol.
It always seems like with 1st years or single year LaNinas that the window for southern winter storms is early... late November to mid January.... 2000-01 and 2010-11 come to mind. Do you think this LaNina is a multi-year event, because if it is that’s bad news for next year... for example 2011-12 was the 2nd year of a LaNina and we all remember how horrible that was