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Pattern October '22

Models trending drier later this week. The Euro is now .25 or less for many of us.
Yeah, the NBM has been going drier and drier for the midweek front. Looking at like 1/4 inch at best (at this point). Models really backing off on the infusion of tropical moisture getting involved. :mad:

With that said, there still looks to be a 30% or so of thunder possibility.. maybe a storm or two can save it.
 
I believe fall color around here could be the best it has been in quite some time. Lots of sunny days and cool crisp nights in the 40s .. excited since I’m already seeing color changes!
We're probably 7-10 days away from peak foliage around my neck of the woods which is 10 days early and probably 2 weeks ahead of the past few years.
 
We're probably 7-10 days away from peak foliage around my neck of the woods which is 10 days early and probably 2 weeks ahead of the past few years.
Yeah we're running well above average in the foothills too. I'm building a house up in blowing rock I'll take some pics later this week.
 
Yeah we're running well above average in the foothills too. I'm building a house up in blowing rock I'll take some pics later this week.
My wife commented tonight about how little green is left. A lot of russets and yellows but the maples are still holding back. Im color blind so I have to rely on her with some of them.
 
My wife commented tonight about how little green is left. A lot of russets and yellows but the maples are still holding back. Im color blind so I have to rely on her with some of them.

The sourwoods are mostly changed north of Atlanta, and so have the Tulip Poplars. The native red maples, like you said, have not changed much yet.

The top ten trees in our area are:

1. Tulip Poplar - yellow
2. Loblolly Pine - DNA
3. White Oak - browning from drought
4. Sweetgum- purple, yellow, red
5. Red Maple - natives mostly green, planted variants changing quickly
6. Sourwood - Red
7. Black Cherry - yellow/red
8. Shortleaf Pine - DNA
9. Dogwood - deep red
10. Scarlet Oak - still green
 
Barring windy conditions or rogue cloud cover, I'd say the models are signaling strong that a hard freeze for many is coming in that 8-10 day timeframe. May actually see NWS offices state the growing season is over in October this year
 
Come to papa! 41450488-843D-4E3A-93FA-341D70ABCF7B.png
 
From RAH:

*********************
Much colder air will follow the next front on Tuesday and mid-week
when highs will fall back into the mid 50s to lower 60s, with lows
in the mid 30s to lower 40s. It appears a frost or first freeze
potential will exist by Tuesday night and Wednesday morning -
especially over the colder Piedmont locations.
*********************

Hopefully we'll say bye to the remaining bugs.
 
Yeah we're running well above average in the foothills too. I'm building a house up in blowing rock I'll take some pics later this week.
What elevation is your house being built at? Congrats on living in the most beautiful area, along with the most Perfect wx Climate imo. You get the best of all 4 seasons and still get to live in the south
 
What elevation is your house being built at? Congrats on living in the most beautiful area, along with the most Perfect wx Climate imo. You get the best of all 4 seasons and still get to live in the south
Aho Gap I'm building the house I work for a contractor only in my dreams could I afford or pay 4M but it sits at 3800ft. We got another home at the top that sits at 4000. So I'll definitely have some obs this winter.
 
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