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Pattern Nippy November

It could trend back
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It looks better than 18z. We need a NW trend. But we don’t need a NW trend. This thing is confusing
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For the 2nd storm, energy diving into Texas looks stronger 1C37375F-1B01-4FB4-AA7B-5104032F936D.jpeg
 
I like the look of the EURO showing a possible snow storm on the 12th of this month. However i would not get my hopes up for an event that is 7 day's out. It's worth playing the game of wait and see at this point and wait until 5 day's closer to the event before we start speculating anything. If we play our ace card to early we will lose the bet and bust. We want that snow not rain.
 
Gefs still looks ehh for NC
The GEFS looks pretty good if we’re going for some possible flurries. The GFS keeps the storm suppressed the entire time, while the GEFS isn’t as acute as past runs. It starts out with a front, however as the run progresses, CAD emerges and a nice low, similar to what the GFS spits out. While there is nothing major on the members, about 7 or 8 members have flurries across NC. I wouldn’t write off this system. While I don’t think we will see any major snow as the 00z and 06z GFS were advertising. A solution like the 00z GFS is not totally bonkers atm.
00z
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12z
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Indeed, the 0Z Euro has stupid cold that is in much of the SE almost as stupid as the stupid cold of the drunk Happy hour FV3 run of Saturday. This run would set new record cold for so early in the season, especially highs during 11/12-3.
 
The 0Z EPS is one to be liked as it is colder than the already colder prior run for 11/11-17. This is colder than normal in the bulk of the SE late 11/8-11/17 with much colder than normal late 11/8 though early 11/10 and again 11/12-14.
 
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