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Pattern Nippy November

Ah, fv3
gfs_T2ma_us_65.png
 
Hmm, GFS trending northeast with the strong Lobe in SE Canada, and allowing lower pressure to slowly move NE, 850s could easily cool from dynamical cooling 8C09CF95-C6CE-421C-A7D3-8E1699285582.gifAAD8E5FA-038A-4357-B5E5-9B843AEF14CF.gif
 
Already 33.8 and DP of 29.3. Very likely to see my first real freeze tonight!

Have had 3 heavy frosts already with temps around 34-35 so this is just to make it official haha
 
Just for fun, I just looked at it and there wasn't much correlation between Novembers and our winters in recent years I think. Last year may have been below normal, but most years have been seasonable.

But man, this first half of November might be quite cool compared to normal for all of us.
 
Don’t know if anyone saw or pointed this out but the 18z GEFS has a few members sniff something out around hr318 fwiwC8B83E44-2356-4383-945A-F79EF3A2802C.jpeg
 
0z gfs is by far the coldest run yet. 1053 H diving down, with this pattern I believe a November winterstorm could happen
 
Daily thoughts: You know it’s going to be one of those winters when you get that big tall ridge to move on shore out west but can only manage a ridge bridge across the continental US #Fail70E11686-B237-490D-A181-7169D4D23BA0.png
 
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