Webberweather53
Meteorologist
We’re definitely headed in the right direction, hopefully we don’t overcorrect to the NW
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Pattern Nippy November
- Thread starter jackendrickwx
- Start date
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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Need that Canada piece of energy to be coming down the Idaho stovepipe! But getting close
Is that delay in the Arctic air for next week now showing up in the last few GFS runs causing that system to trend NW? I am noticing the coldest air isn't focused so much on the early part of next week anymore but more so on the later part per GFS.
Nope still looks cold all week for the most part
Agreed, however, the typhoon may press it down faster.
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I don't think you understood my question. It's pretty obvious off the last 2 GFS runs that the cold air has shifted to the later part of next week "delayed". Does not look as potent either. It's just one model though.
Temp anomalies still showing significantly below normal temps most next week.. don’t see a delay really.. we were never suppose to get the polar vortex down here in November ?
Why are you asking the bored if you already know the answer? Just stop.
The energy for that ULL has doubled since yesterday afternoon.
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I never said we were. I mentioned that the coldest air looks delayed per the GFS. Cooler than average does look to dominate the pattern next week, I was mentioning the "arctic air" meaning the really cold air. It was a question pertaining to the trend NW with the moisture seen in TX. Colder air can cause suppression which would make sense that the last few runs of the GFS has trended NW with it because the colder air is being a bit delayed which would cause less suppression.
Through hr 153 the energy on the GFS is further NW
06z
12z
06z
12z
I was asking for opinions on it and thoughts, that's what we do here. No reason for any of your rude comments like "just stop". You can keep things like that to yourself.
12z CMC is looking interesting, northern stream interacting with the S/W a bit.
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CMC:
I have a feeling there is going to be a few big dogs this run on the GEFS (this is 6hr accumulation, the l has not loaded yet)
Yes true hopefully a good sign to come with more development of that southern wave
accu35
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Howd you get that far ahead lol? I'm on frame 108I have a feeling there is going to be a few big dogs this run on the GEFS (this is 6hr accumulation, the l has not loaded yet)
CMC:
Turns into a frontal system in my opinion, to much interaction to early between NS/SS
ForsythSnow
Moderator
A swing and a miss to the NW.CMC:
through hr 216I have a feeling there is going to be a few big dogs this run on the GEFS (this is 6hr accumulation, the l has not loaded yet)
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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When the CMC is showing rain, it’s game over! Next
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Okay, see you next month then.
Very impressive for November, solid agreement for this range and time of the yearthrough hr 216
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
through hr 216
Looks like more big hits this time compared to the last run. Panels 4, 7, 11, and 13 would be nice.
NoSnowATL
Member
Ethan80963!
Member
through hr 216
Northwestern NC to, where I can drive to some family there
NoSnowATL
Member
I know it’s the CMC ?
But it never dies, even when it isn’t there, it’s there, you should know what I’m talking about
But it never dies, even when it isn’t there, it’s there, you should know what I’m talking about
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Please don't look at the horribly incorrect temps. I regret doing it.
I apologize if I came off rude. Just miss understood your questions and your approach.
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GeorgiaGirl
Member
That next week cold snap doesn't look delayed. Moderated a good deal since those ridiculous 12z runs yesterday yes but not delayed. Actually looks quite cold from the weekend through most of next week...for November that is.
No worries, I appreciate the apology.
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Huge jump in percentages
06z
12z
Yeah, nice jump! GFS might just be following the Euro's lead.
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
My thoughts exactly. I mean if that cold air hasn’t spilled in prior then we know how this story ends for our backyard