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Pattern Nippy November

Cold
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In 14( might be wrong year) we have snow flurries around Thanksgiving .


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Yes. Upstate SC November 1, 2014.
3 inches accumulated before Dawn. All melted by 10am due to soil temps in 60s. Was near 80 a week before event.



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It seems like in November, the further west you go the better chances for wintry precip. I remember watching a Cowboys-Dolphins Thanksgiving game in Dallas in the 90s where the field was covered in ice and snow. You would never see that in Atlanta in November.

It’s easier for Dallas then Atlanta. Cold air always funnels down the rookies then moderates as it moves East. It takes a perfect setup for Atlanta or any other place in the SE to see snow.


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I wouldn't completely go to sleep on the idea for an outside shot of some token flurries or sleet pellets over the most climatologically favored areas of the Carolinas around day 5-6 w/ a very weak sheared frontal wave trying to overrun a cold airmass being left by this trough over Atlantic Canada. This is a classic z500 pattern for cold air damming. The ECMWF oth isn't anywhere near as favorable

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It seems like in November, the further west you go the better chances for wintry precip. I remember watching a Cowboys-Dolphins Thanksgiving game in Dallas in the 90s where the field was covered in ice and snow. You would never see that in Atlanta in November.

Yeah 1993(ironically Halloween was the coldest since then) and it didnt snow the rest of winter ?
 
GFs trending with a slightly weaker western ridge, good H5 pattern for a event around I-40 north, been watching this one for days and it’s definitely been interesting, GFS did show a more north track tho this run, euro and GFS differ at H5 around this timeC49BF8F4-EB0F-4F35-B709-37A2A6687DA1.gif
 
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