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Pattern Muddy March 2021

With that sort of ridge out west I expected deeper cold with it
Nope 79BD65E9-79F5-49A5-80A5-45D7B449C7D8.png
 
What a strange upper air pattern lol, where’s a deep TPV near the lakes when you need it C0C34B00-EB68-443F-8F73-D0984048651C.png
 
I could actually see something like this happening

View attachment 77849
That was an awesome event! If I remember correctly we were only forecast to get 1-2 inches here but ended up with around 6. I lived in Morehead City at the time. It was coming down really heavily for a while with some gusty winds.
 
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Lol the SER was stronger the whole EPS run vs prior ones, had one the entire run, SE Canada vortex tho around d10+ so watch for CAD
 
Looks like a warmup getting extended on the EPS, hopefully those trends continue tonight, eventually we will cool down and probably get more mega frosts in late March/early April 3F537605-47DE-4CCF-AC5C-E0F265F309B3.png2616E357-C59C-41BF-85C6-BB2438F2430B.pngC9CEEFE6-677C-423F-AEF8-9AE6B927542B.pngE167A4DC-0F8D-4064-9F46-E6F971013A08.pngD0C35934-7890-4098-A2B8-8334B2EA848B.png4BA03266-DB00-4AB8-90D2-28FCB1D018BC.png
 
80 F at 1 PM? That would be nothing for here, where it has already been 5 or so warmer than that a couple of times in late Feb.
Accounting for the cold bias models seemingly have had (today for example) 85/86 would be possible, buts that just based off a model
 
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