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Pattern Muddy March 2021

Stephenb888

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Since severe weather is right around the corner... has anyone noticed that northeast ga and upstate sc has been prone to very sever weather and tornadoes the past couple of years. Are we becoming the new tornado alley?
 

GaWx

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Indeed, the 0Z Euro is also warmer. I promise the readers that @Myfrotho704_ and I are not in cahoots as we're on opposite sides of the spectrum as far as what we want. We're just reporting the model facts by being professional messengers. We tell it like it is. Of course, the models may be off. We make no claim as to the accuracy of any model. I, of course, hope they're very wrong. However, I fear they may be right this time.
 

Myfrotho704_

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After getting lots of snow, del rio might be the hotbed of supercells soon, it’s normally around this time of the year when they get big supercells down there 9D15D086-1AAE-4015-9019-9091EAE8AB03.png
 

NickyBGuarantee

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No for real is it not going to reach the ground I guess? There’s a sleet report in Greensboro and the dews are fairly low right now
 

Myfrotho704_

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ECMWF Sets up a pretty classic wintertime version of the “ring of Fire” along the edge of the ridge, several impulses aloft generating rain/elevated thunderstorms and surface based thunderstorms in the warm sector, this euro run was much warmer so hopefully we push it north a bit, that’s a whole lot of rain A7165C73-3845-4D4D-B45B-1D7D7A6558D4.png 86B5F424-FFF6-4F30-B6CB-C5D556D41FB9.png C1DAC4D0-DCBD-4905-A939-B36CE553AB0D.png
 

Myfrotho704_

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EPS shows that big ol firehose, better hope the ridge axis flexes more, it’s also a legit torch, highs in the 60s/70s during the day and lows in the 60s/mid/upper 50s 00E911E5-E72E-4A05-AE73-135C2185929C.png 3A6B9FC3-8B20-4FB7-91E7-EAB2161A517E.png oth the EPS also warmed up significantly around the D8-10 range and is starting to show another SER, La Niña might finally be doing its thing
Worth noting that the EPS still shows a SE Canada vortex so CAD is possible-likely E5423448-1579-411A-9B16-BDF05805886F.png 4F8242AB-0672-4CB3-89AA-CF5DC72AACC7.png
 
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