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Pattern Muddy March 2021
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
99 Million dollars? Wowzers!
Todd Wudge
W- We——Wedge——Wedges 
olhausen
Member
Gfs trying to drop a big one on my birthday. It’ll never happen but man would that be a birthday present!
Small hail in this storm southeast of Greenville NC
Downeastnc
Member
Drove to work in that, I live right under the N in Simpson....wind was decent too probably 40ish, was enough to make driving suck.....
Yes sir
Avalanche
Member
Convective cold rain?
That upper level wind pattern is interesting 
Mother Nature must have a beef with Wednesday's and Thursday's. Lol.
Avalanche
Member
Full of headfakes and sikes!! My Tarheels should take note!!!
NCHighCountryWX
Member
- Joined
- Dec 28, 2016
- Messages
- 530
- Reaction score
- 1,458
Snow on Beech Mountain this morning
From GSP morning disco:
Even they mention the possibility of another severe weather event.
There are also some differences in how the models depict the shortwave that
trails that system through the longer trough. That said, these
deterministic runs all show cyclogenesis across the Deep South
Thursday. If that occurs and the low progresses in our direction as
shown on the EC/CMC, we may experience another severe wx risk late
next week. The GFS is further south with the shortwave, and suggests
more of a hydrologic threat. Too early to get real concerned about
either, seeing these differences plus wide spread in ensembles.
Even they mention the possibility of another severe weather event.
There are also some differences in how the models depict the shortwave that
trails that system through the longer trough. That said, these
deterministic runs all show cyclogenesis across the Deep South
Thursday. If that occurs and the low progresses in our direction as
shown on the EC/CMC, we may experience another severe wx risk late
next week. The GFS is further south with the shortwave, and suggests
more of a hydrologic threat. Too early to get real concerned about
either, seeing these differences plus wide spread in ensembles.
Might need the thread now lol, it’s crazy how much severe wx sticks around on models yet winter storms are gone in a matter of 1-2 runs 
V16 isn’t as bad looking, more for areas back west 
Convection everywhere filling up the warm sector 
Starting to see signs of maritime forcing (phase 5/6) 
wonder if we try to amp the sub-tropical jet stream up in CAPEril
wonder if we try to amp the sub-tropical jet stream up in CAPEril
Looks to hit middle of the night for you.. peak heating for RALEIGH ?
Go for it.
Well it’s official I’m hanging the snow hat up ... now give me a ground covered in hail!
Here we go folks!
Look at the NAM 12km cold bias 
I bet we see 80s come back late next week 
Keep trolling
35 already good thing we are going to keep a light breeze to mitigate the mega frost
Looks like we may try to get chilly again for easter weekend.
31 this morning
I suppose there’s an outside chance this morning’s freeze at RDU could be the last one of the season. I think our average last freeze is around the end of March/first of April, but the next week or so aren’t looking conducive to anymore freezes, at least.