Pattern Muddy March 2021

[Faco Thomas]

Well at least us here in CAE got one more to see go to waste??‍?

Yeah the GFSv16 model had the storm track a bit too far NW for us to get the major amounts. Atleast we know this will change plenty of time and I'm still concerned that this may become rain for everybody based on what I have seen this year.

 

[Chandler]

A bomb on the cmc
I like it’s southern look

 

[Broken024]

Someone remind me. Is the GFS consistently right or consistently wrong?

 

[LovingGulfLows]

I personally like this look on the CMC.

CMC actually looks like the 0z Euro run.....ends with coastal snow in NC/SC. A bit earlier of a phase and things would get interesting.

 

[Meteorologist1999]

I personally like this look on the CMC.

CMC actually looks like the 0z Euro run.....ends with coastal snow in NC/SC. A bit earlier of a phase and things would get interesting.

WHERE was these low tracks a month ago when we had a strong -NAO. Mother Nature is very laughable??

 

[FallsLake]

I said it was time to prepare. What we are seeing this time is the models getting better with time.

With what this model is showing, it can't get any better. All downhill from here....

 

[Myfrotho704_]

That’s disappointing

 

[Ollie Williams]

That’s disappointing View attachment 77139

Not really, much better than 06z!

 

[LovingGulfLows]

That’s disappointing View attachment 77139

At least it's showing something now....baby steps.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Better at H5/H85 tho

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Saying this look is sorta similar to feb 2004 is a understatement, especially the para, this is the closest I’ve seen to this sort of modeled setup in a while

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

LMFAOOOView attachment 77135

That's one way to snuff out all this talk of pollen and mosquitos.

 

[Mitch West]

That’s disappointing View attachment 77139

Man I wouldn’t say it’s disappointing! Such a dynamic system or situation with different scenarios & outcomes on how this can work out. I’ll take this at this range all day. Fun week ahead.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Honestly I don’t want the ensembles support anymore! There was a time all the GEFS ensembles had accumulating snow with King Kong .... I want ZERO ensemble support for this storm to work for us

 

[Ollie Williams]

I went and ran my ERA-5 archive maps for the first time in a while. Here is the comparison between the upcoming pattern and 2004.

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

I went and ran my ERA-5 archive maps for the first time in a while. Here is the comparison between the upcoming pattern and 2004.
View attachment 77146View attachment 77147

Everyone’s talking about 2004 .. what the hell happened in 2004?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I went and ran my ERA-5 archive maps for the first time in a while. Here is the comparison between the upcoming pattern and 2004.
View attachment 77146View attachment 77147

Wow the similarities

 

[Myfrotho704_]

What I’m saying

 

[Ollie Williams]

Everyone’s talking about 2004 .. what the hell happened in 2004?