OTD in 1980
This is a reanalyzed map of the Mar 1980 storm I made last winter. 30" fell in Cherry Point NC, nearly 2 feet in Morehead City.
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Pattern Muddy March 2021
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
The ICON has a late phase off the coast.
Ron Burgundy
Member
Yep - I was a junior in HS. My mother came in and woke me up, I thought for school. But she said “look out the window.” And there was 8” of snow on the ground. Still blows my mind. No local mets predicted it.Apparently even Atlanta got almost 8 inches of snow from that storm. Never even knew about this storm.
Late Season SNOW: March 24, 1983 | wxHistory | Atlanta Weather History
wxHistory - a collection of historic Atlanta weather events curated and developed by Paul Pranceatlwx.com
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
------ that is so close. Insane cold feed for a storm at the end of the first week of March w/ 1000-500mb thicknesses ~525 dm entering central NC. If we can get the precip here, it's probably going to snow.
What was interesting about this storm is that the area between GSP up to the CLT metro, those heavy amounts fell almost entirely during the daytime after highs being in the 50s the day before... so much for warm ground temps and high sun angles.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
If we can get this PV lobe to dig back towards eastern TN/N GA instead of hanging out over northern VA, the Carolinas are gonna get smoked.
Geez. If we end up that close meteorological spring gets an F from me. In all seriousness though a little less push from the west coast and that would have been a great run
That lobe closing off is a new feature the ICON has cooked up.
Jessy89
Member
I’m liking where we sit today. I don’t really want good trends until Wednesday/Thursday.
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What a big difference with the mid week system 3k is nearly 2 inches of rain here the gfs is around .1
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
I would say perhaps start to see some good trends tomorrow if something is going to happen. I would like to start seeing a little bit from ensembles today.
Probably but the 3k has been inching south. I hadn't really paid attention until today. We just missed out on making an attempt at snow with that one too
Darklordsuperstorm
Member
Let me just say the last couple of days were amazing! Especially yesterday. Reached and afternoon high of 82. So I'm kind of in the camp of not wanting to go back to the cool damp pattern. Unfortunately it looks like that is exactly what is in store for tomorrow. More 40 degree rains? any sign of winter releasing its grip? Atleast until next winter.
Stormlover
Member
you mean snowing so hard it accumulated faster than it melted
The GFS is going to be much more amped this run. Let's see if it can phase and bring down the cold.
Gfs is just a little too progressive to phase in time. The vortex over the NE is backing off which is helpful
Jessy89
Member
Gfs not bad at all at this point. Anyone that knows what there looking at can see the potential.
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Downeastnc
Member
The V16 had a better look IMO. The GFS would be way too warm verbatim. The V16 is slower to retreat the SE Canada vortex and just needs to southern vort to hold together a bit longer to be really good.
I'll see you Friday evening when we are still hoping lol. It's going to be a painful week a less sheared wave is slower which means a better opportunity to phase. But the icon and gfs seemed a little faster with pushing the ridge to our west east.
Close but so far at the same time, I just don’t believe in this one, I mean how can I after this winter, I’m mentally destroyed 
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Salivating at the mouth
Jessy89
Member
I believe this is our last potential in the south east this winter. Although I’d laugh my butt off if this is the year we get snow mid April 
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I gotta remember that the one event that produced the @metwannabe special was more sheared/suppressed on models before, and we saw how that worked out, especially the NAM, anything is possible
How was the GEFS?
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
The 12z parallel GFS is literally a couple baby steps from going boom. We get that surface low to emerge into the Atlantic around Jacksonville-Savannah instead of Daytona Beach...
??? ??
??? ??
Wait 
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
12z GEFS is so damn close.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Much more northern stream interaction this run lifts the storm further north. Damn we are knocking on the doorstep
Looks closer to a phase at H5, I’ll shut up
Do you think as of now the Midlands of SC could potentially see some wintry wx?
this look is textbook. please lord give us this we deserve it.
Jessy89
Member
Shaggy
Member
Lots of potential. Might actually be one of our best looks of the year really.
I am trying to hard not to get excited but man it's becoming increasingly difficult not to at least be somewhat optimistic about this weekends system. We are so close to a big dog and honestly, this is probably one of the best looks we have had all winter. But as we know here in the Carolina's, these models cometh and taketh like it's a damn hobby.
Cadi40
Member
If I had a penny for every time I’ve read that this season..
Jessy89
Member
Maybe be Euro will lead the way. I’m actually going to lean on mostly the Euro/V16 for this one. Since the V16 goes operational soon I put it a notch above the GFS.
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