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Pattern Muddy March 2021
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Lol this is the ugliest possible pattern for wintry wx, the EPS already has mean highs near the 70s with this pattern, if we get a coupled -NAO this could be pushed back however, far out tho but that’s warm for that range 
olhausen
Member
Saw it snow here in April 2018
That’s cool
What's the criteria
That basically means this year has been super anomalous when it comes to La Niña standards, crazy ! El Niño’s have been like ninas at H5 lately which is the strange part
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
They use anomaly correlation coefficient (ACC) (as is also often used to determine "skill" for forecast models in synoptic settings)
The equation looks something like this, it's actually not bad. The numerator is basically the sum of the forecast anomalies (f'm) and observed anomalies (o'm) at each grid point divided by the square root of the forecast and observed anomalies squared. (Cm = climo)
SWVAwxfan
Member
It's literally pouring down snow, sleet and freezing rain here. 32 degrees.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Most of the rain is going north of me right now. Thank goodness
Not fair, pouring here, I’m sure you want some more rain
olhausen
Member
SWVAwxfan
Member
Already a dusting on the ground
Pretty average if you blend for next week 
Shave off 60 degrees and boom 
Sigh there goes the warmth
SWVAwxfan
Member
Yeah. They had that dark red over Texas for February. Gee, how did that work out for them?
Lol 
Nomanslandva
Member
Snow sleet mix here at 35. Dusting on the ground. This could have been decent if we would not have busted to high on last nights low. ?