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Pattern Muddy March 2021

2M are blazing, it’s crucial to trend to a big upper level low again like how we had a few days ago other wise you get light precip and 40s
Also a nighttime system helps tremendously View attachment 77342View attachment 77343

You can see the dynamic cooling going on there with the lower surface temps under the heavier precip in northern GA. You're right though. The only way this works is if you get a 3-4 contour bowling ball rolling through the heartland otherwise it will phase too late and you get a cold rain event.
 
0Z gefs: a tad better than 18Z, which was a tad better than 6/12Z. But still not as active as 0Z of 24 hours ago

Anyone see UK?
 
Yeah that's not very far off at all, I'm pretty interested here. At least this stuff isn't sitting over SE kentucky and we are trying to find a SE trend

Here's Mar 2-3 2010. Granted, I think that northern stream wave on the backside over Minnesota on this frame is what actually dropped most of the snow east of the mtns. This setup looks like a hybrid of the two tbh

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March 2-3 2010 NC Snowmap.gif
 
Here's Mar 2-3 2010. Granted, I think that northern stream wave on the backside over Minnesota on this frame is what actually dropped most of the snow east of the mtns. This setup looks like a hybrid of the two tbh

View attachment 77367



View attachment 77368
I think most of us would take our chances at getting a significant band like this. I do wonder if we are going to get more significant coastal development with this year's setup with a potential partial or full phase
 
One thing you will notice about these March snowstorms, not only can they put down some big numbers, they have some stupid gradients..... literally some spots a few miles is the difference between a nothing burger and a big dog. I'm slightly interested, hope this is winter's last gasp and then let Spring spring please.
 
Yeah that's not very far off at all, I'm pretty interested here. At least this stuff isn't sitting over SE kentucky and we are trying to find a SE trend

Yeah that is pretty close......found this map on WeatherUS and wow that's some seriously widespread heavy SE snow anytime of the year much less the last week of March...granted it has a 981 MB low just SE of Hatteras and this does not match the previous map I linked showing a much more widespread snow with bigger totals especially over NW NC etc

us_reanalyse-en-087-0_modera5_198303251200_480_215.png
 
OTD in 1980

This is a reanalyzed map of the Mar 1980 storm I made last winter. 30" fell in Cherry Point NC, nearly 2 feet in Morehead City.

:eek:

View attachment 77382

Craziest storm ever.......that second wave was dumping whiteout thunder and lightning snow with temps in the upper teens......I was 8 and still remember sitting in the front picture window at my old house and getting told to get out of it by my mom cause of the lightning....that and the next day we almost lost Shaggy in the front yard cause the snow was way deeper that he was tall lol....
 
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