Euro as well, CADish look but still View attachment 76850
It’ll be interesting to see if the EPS follows in this direction. That’s a pretty wild run to run swing for the Euro. Obviously the higher heights over SE Canada are the key. It would be nice to see this hold... it’s been pretty nice driving with the sun roof open the last two daysSER go crazy View attachment 76852
Yeah it’s quite a big difference this run, while some late season snow would be fun, this warmth right now is awesome, even with the type of day I’ve had, it’s put me in a great mood stillIt’ll be interesting to see if the EPS follows in this direction. That’s a pretty wild run to run swing for the Euro. Obviously the higher heights over SE Canada are the key. It would be nice to see this hold... it’s been pretty nice driving with the sun roof open the last two days
Yeah but this run is much much warmer in the medium range (not long range) now after hour 210 it has a impressive -NAO building inView attachment 76857
i dont know if this is a warm pattern per say.... look at the -NAO coming back with vengeance ? almost like it’s got something to prove
Except for Chatham Co. NC. We need 25 and rain to ice things up.That 3/25/1971 gave ATL its latest major winter storm on record, a major ZR right at about 32 (so roads were mainly ok but not above ground objects/trees...32 and rain can cause a lot of damage)!
Except for Chatham Co. NC. We need 25 and rain to ice things up.
I could honestly see things playing out the next couple weeks very similar to what the Euro showed on that run. Quite warm through about 3/3,3/4 timeframe and then a cold push after that. The teleconnections have been hinting at the NAO dipping back negative again around that time and while its still slightly positive, the AO is still not positive enough to cut off cold air coming down. Now while any cold shot coming in after this warm spell is not likely to produce winter weather, the idea can’t be dismissed. The big March winter storms that have affected the Carolinas (1927, 1971, 1983, 1993) were preceded within 3 or 4 days by very mild temperatures.Yeah but this run is much much warmer in the medium range (not long range) now after hour 210 it has a impressive -NAO building in
All other models don't get nearly as much cold air as far south as GFS. So, it could easily be on crack due to cold bias...even the cold biased ICON isn't so cold.
With the successive warmer runs for Friday I would not toss this run. I would jettison it into outer space.
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Yeah then we can get a random freeze later in the month or early April that's damaging to Agplease, let’s just end it all View attachment 76868View attachment 76869
Let’s just um.... March 2012Yeah then we can get a random freeze later in the month or early April that's damaging to Ag