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Pattern Muddy March 2021
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Lol this is the ugliest possible pattern for wintry wx, the EPS already has mean highs near the 70s with this pattern, if we get a coupled -NAO this could be pushed back however, far out tho but that’s warm for that range 
olhausen
Member
Saw it snow here in April 2018
That’s cool
What's the criteria
That basically means this year has been super anomalous when it comes to La Niña standards, crazy ! El Niño’s have been like ninas at H5 lately which is the strange part
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
They use anomaly correlation coefficient (ACC) (as is also often used to determine "skill" for forecast models in synoptic settings)
The equation looks something like this, it's actually not bad. The numerator is basically the sum of the forecast anomalies (f'm) and observed anomalies (o'm) at each grid point divided by the square root of the forecast and observed anomalies squared. (Cm = climo)
SWVAwxfan
Member
It's literally pouring down snow, sleet and freezing rain here. 32 degrees.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Most of the rain is going north of me right now. Thank goodness
Not fair, pouring here, I’m sure you want some more rain
olhausen
Member
SWVAwxfan
Member
Already a dusting on the ground
Pretty average if you blend for next week 
Shave off 60 degrees and boom 
Sigh there goes the warmth
SWVAwxfan
Member
Yeah. They had that dark red over Texas for February. Gee, how did that work out for them?
Lol 
Nomanslandva
Member
Snow sleet mix here at 35. Dusting on the ground. This could have been decent if we would not have busted to high on last nights low. ?
cd2play
Member
I surrender
Lol every model goes blowtorch after the day 6-9 EC trough what could go wrong
LickWx
Member
East Asia rule bro.
+EARB
Shaggy
Member
Gfs still drowning large areas of the Carolinas.
Avalanche
Member
Tis the story of 20-21
ATLwxfan
Member
The good news is that spinning low pressure system next weekend appears to be manufacturing its own warm air.
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Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
ATLwxfan
Member
Shaggy
Member
Lol I’m wondering if we should get scared yet seeing these sorts of look wrt to cutoffs and it’s relevance to hurricane season haha
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
Member
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If this summer is an La Niña, I’m concerned about hurricane season being bad for the E coast and gulf again!
SWVAwxfan
Member
Got about a 1/2 inch of sleet and snow accumulation this evening. Now, just misting.
Rich got less richer ?
This rain keeps up I’m gonna grow gills and flippers.
March 2018 on the ICON 
So the v16/GFS/GEFs looks meh while the CMC/ICON look close to something, already the look at H5 could so easily go wrong
I know people don’t want to hear it but this period holds potential for a lot of cold rain and even some winter weather ... crazy upper level lows being spit out at medium range and we think we know the answer on what’s to come? Nope
hard pass
Yeah I agree get that outa here
Lol where was this in January or February. 