-
Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!
May be?
- Thread starter GaWx
- Start date
Thats interesting, Euro really hitting on the northwestern portion of the trough to be dominant while most other models say its the SE part.
Euro is picking up on it never being a redevelopment of a low to the east. Ummm?
It doesn't look very wet at all actually from Charlotte through the upstate. The se slopes may do well. We don't need rain but I kind of want to break the all time May rainfall record and now tomorrow doesn't look like it'll cut it. 1.02 inches away and now I'm wondering of it'll happen. Several days left of pop up storm chances but we'll see if the airport can cash in on one.Um... what? ?
My point was that if models are struggling this much, this close to the event than making a call like that is a bit premature.
BufordWX
Member
The Euro has the axis of heaviest rainfall in northeastern GA. Lol
Just 1.02 inches and I'm good for awhile. The RDU area that has been sucking wind lately can have the rest.
Hard to bet against the Euro, but we're well within range of the short range models, so I'll consider the Euro out to lunch for now.
gawxnative
Member
Hmmm begining to look like the "fire hose axis" it straight up the Savannah River Valley.
The GFS looks like a big dog for central NC and the Euro looks like rain. modernweenie
EPS should be interesting, 0z Euro was on the low end of the suite. With the UK going right it makes me wonder about the Euro being correct but we have seen models over play the MLC to sfc low redevelopment before. For whatever it's worth the 18z HRRR is in the eastward camp, I only bring that up because if this is going to end up west you'd think the models would start going that way soon
Would not be at all surprised to see the 18z 12k very similar to the Euro
From early looks, it almost look like a move west with precip!!
Yeah it really does which is interesting since it was closer to the coast with the pressure field
Rolling with the NAM bc why not?
I got in between those 2, and given the low level wind field there may be a few spinups on the “feeder band(s)”
I’m rolling with RPM model.
18Z Icon shift west and places axis of heavy rain up through central SC.
Nam gives some foul looking soundings around CLT on Friday, supportive of tors lol, is 2020 gonna 2020 again, also worth noting those hodographs are quite impressive with nice low level hodos and then the mid levels/upper levels fanning out, its prob the nam being the nam lol 
I just want GSP to mange 1.02 inches of rain between now and Sunday night. If it takes severe storms so be it! Lol
Of course. It is 2020. Throw some killer wasp and locust in those tornadoes as well and that my folks is what 2020 is all about.
blueheronNC
Member
18z GFS still holds serve with the "Hurricane Fran" track for tomorrow's system (at 1/1000th the intensity)
Lol those types of hodographs mean business, often associated with cyclic sups given low level hodograph curvature and nearly 30kts of SRW at 6km which errs away from HP sups and towards LP/classic given the straightness of the mid level hodo, only limiting factor is the marginal low level jet which reduces the tor threat significantly
JHS
Member
Not happening. May get a little bit of rain Friday and Saturday but not enough. A decent chance that not another drop falls at GSP for 2 weeks or longer.
Can you please stop spreading false information? It doesn't do anyone any good. People come to this website to learn, not to be told inaccurate information. We have had a lot of rain over the last 2 weeks, you act like it hasn't rained since March. The Upstate and the Western/Central Carolina's have had more than their fair share of rain. You act as though we are in a full drought. Just chiilll out, please.
Shetley has about a 90% chance of that forecast being wrong.
We all are familiar with this look ?? EPS basically the same, tis the season for NW flow 
