• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

May be?

If that trough could slow 6 hours or so In the NE or amplify a bit more, given 500mb NW flow around 40-50kts and 700mb NW flow around 35-45kts, that would easily support a MCS, but the gfs brings it though to quick so storms develop in SE NC on Monday 5386AB56-3E28-443B-A39A-06ED36B113B2.pngB5C7FF86-95B0-4164-ABC2-4F882C53CC9A.png
 
Once that ridge breaks down, CAPE would at least advect in again, allowing diurnal convection, but this is farther out so meh 4C414152-99D2-4FA8-9287-E0833A973B82.png5190C5CD-1D68-4140-B060-900340569292.png
 
I like heat, but with storms, just subsidence there with a random shower around at best
Yep, move it east and its a very summery setup, shift it west and we can maybe get some NW flow MCS going on or at least maybe some frontal activity. Where its at, dead, measuring rain by the thimble
 
I wonder if we can get one of those MCVs on Sunday or maybe even Monday along with the main energy 7C1C6245-9881-4BFF-A10C-9331DD7B909E.png
 
Wouldn’t surprise me if we get a few downbursts/strong outflow winds on Monday given the inverted V soundings, 30+ degree T/DP spreads is favorable for damaging wind gusts D47B947B-201C-4C42-A468-49B06A33B740.png
 
Back
Top