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May be?

Webberweather53

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Mmm. Perfect. Right where I wanna before the inevitable over correction...
This isn't a precursor to an over correction, there's a very good reason the models suddenly shifted wetter here and the changes are likely real & still emerging as I've discussed in the new upper low thread.

It's definitely a far cry from those who thought the rain chances were basically disappearing next week. ;)
 

Webberweather53

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Still time for rain accumulation to continue to increase here right @Webberweather53 ?
This correction is almost certainly due to the poorly forecast mesolow over the southern plains and diabatic outflow from TD one/Arthur to a lesser extent thereafter. Some of the synoptic tweak attributable to TD One/Arthur was already "baked" into the models yesterday imo
 

smast16

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This isn't a precursor to an over correction, there's a very good reason the models suddenly shifted wetter here and the changes are likely real & still emerging as I've discussed in the new upper low thread.

It's definitely a far cry from those who thought the rain chances were basically disappearing next week. ;)
The rain gods are fickle creatures. I'm just trying a little reverse psychology on 'em.
 

Lickwx

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Cold rain + an agricultural catastrophe of a flood? Yay. Summer where are you? Average highs are over 80 , why oh why so unstable this late into the year mother nature?
 

Myfrotho704_

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Myfrotho704_

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Starting to see hints of the SW US death ridge in the LR, that’s the real deal pattern for NW flow around the SE
 

Lickwx

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This May has me plain burnt out. 0 sun until possibly saturday. March like highs ( if GFS has its way February) , not a single thunderstorm since mid March . Straight 60 degree northeast wind drizzle. Not even april normally has sunless stretches like that.
 

Lickwx

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GFS trended even colder for rest of May. Cold bias issues withstanding it looks like garbage. Memorial day looks chilly . March 1 kinda crap.
@GaWx if you get the chance could you post some of those maps that show the bias of the models ?
 

cd2play

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GFS trended even colder for rest of May. Cold bias issues withstanding it looks like garbage. Memorial day looks chilly . March 1 kinda crap.
@GaWx if you get the chance could you post some of those maps that show the bias of the models ?
Fear not! For the above normal temperatures will return just in time for December! :rolleyes:
 

smast16

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GFS trended even colder for rest of May. Cold bias issues withstanding it looks like garbage. Memorial day looks chilly . March 1 kinda crap.
@GaWx if you get the chance could you post some of those maps that show the bias of the models ?
I'll need to check this on my PWS, but I seriously feel like i've seen more time in the 30's this May than I have in the 70's for MBY.
 

accu35

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I don’t know about you guys but I’d be fine with a below average summer, We haven’t had one in a while.
Thank you!!! I mean, we always have pretty hot summers and very high humidity. Couple years ago we had a fairly ok "coolish" summer and winter turned out great with 3 snow events for me. If we get a below average summer for at least half of it than bring it
 

Lickwx

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58 right now and breezy. These are late february averages . Record lowest high for today is 58 average is 80. High was in early morning though so record will stand.
 
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