May be?

[ryan1234]

I wish temps would bust in the Summer like they do in the Winter... ?

 

[Iceagewhereartthou]

I wish temps would bust in the Summer like they do in the Winter... ?

You mean 10 or 15 degrees warmer than forecast?

 

[SD]

Unless something changes drastically I think we take a run at 100 memorial day weekend

 

[Webberweather53]

I know @GaWx talks about the GEFS long-range cold bias all the time, but I'm not sure how these mid-level heights could get any higher (&/or warmer)

This literally looks like almost every seasonal climate model forecast... ever

 

[Arcc]

Long range GFS already showing 100 for Atlanta on May 23rd. Must be that time of year.View attachment 41264

?

Ugh.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I know @GaWx talks about the GEFS long-range cold bias all the time, but I'm not sure how these mid-level heights could get any higher (&/or warmer)

This literally looks like almost every seasonal climate model forecast... ever

View attachment 41274

It’s just January man, nothing new, but anyways no joke gefs is on crack, lol, but I like the chances of NW flow MCSs once that ridge breaks down around here

 

[superjames1992]

ummmm
View attachment 41271
View attachment 41273

Memorial Day weekend is about to rock! ?

 

[ryan1234]

You mean 10 or 15 degrees COLDER than forecast?

There, I fixed it for ya! But sadly, that is pretty accurate for summer. Wish I was wrong...

 

[LickWx]

Unless something changes drastically I think we take a run at 100 memorial day weekend

Just like a colorado rockies summer ! They are pleasant as some mentioned but far, far , far more unstable than we are.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

GFS looks decent for thunderstorms on Sunday
also looks solid for thunderstorms (some severe) on Monday with enhanced flow at 500mb, soundings not bad for hail/downbursts and perhaps a MCS given the straight hodographs with decent 6-8km flow

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Hopefully we can cash in on both days otherwise oof

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I like this run, 500mb cutoff gets stuck under the ridge so the ridge can’t strengthen properly, means less heat, only if it could be a lock, lol

 

[BirdManDoomW]

It always get hotter and dry when a tropical system moves offshore to the north/east. A lot of sinking air on the west side. Think this induce the pattern change to dry and hot.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

?
↘
↘

 

[BirdManDoomW]

Nice little “low” south of Tyler, Texas. May be we get tropical depression on land

 

[GaWx]

Another enjoyable walk in April like conditions.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Severe threat IMO is increasing Monday given the trend to a more amplified/better digging shortwave in the NE us bringing in stronger 500mb flow and slightly better low level wind profiles which would allow for more organized convection, @SD remember that CMC run we wanted to hug, well that run may have actually been onto something... MCS with that type of flow like the gfs shows is nearly a good bet

 

[LickWx]

Another enjoyable walk in April like conditions.

Its been april like in savannah? I wish it was at least april like here, its been early to mid march like here.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I—

 

[SD]

I—