• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

May be?

Mmm. Perfect. Right where I wanna before the inevitable over correction...

This isn't a precursor to an over correction, there's a very good reason the models suddenly shifted wetter here and the changes are likely real & still emerging as I've discussed in the new upper low thread.

It's definitely a far cry from those who thought the rain chances were basically disappearing next week. ;)
 
Still time for rain accumulation to continue to increase here right @Webberweather53 ?

This correction is almost certainly due to the poorly forecast mesolow over the southern plains and diabatic outflow from TD one/Arthur to a lesser extent thereafter. Some of the synoptic tweak attributable to TD One/Arthur was already "baked" into the models yesterday imo
 
This isn't a precursor to an over correction, there's a very good reason the models suddenly shifted wetter here and the changes are likely real & still emerging as I've discussed in the new upper low thread.

It's definitely a far cry from those who thought the rain chances were basically disappearing next week. ;)

The rain gods are fickle creatures. I'm just trying a little reverse psychology on 'em.
 
Cold rain + an agricultural catastrophe of a flood? Yay. Summer where are you? Average highs are over 80 , why oh why so unstable this late into the year mother nature?
 
MCS printer went brrr on the gfs, shows fri/sat/sun with MCSs or Convective clusters
 

Attachments

  • E553A2BC-1C48-4001-A14E-C10AD675B7BB.png
    E553A2BC-1C48-4001-A14E-C10AD675B7BB.png
    118 KB · Views: 21
  • 8752249A-1C5A-4D7A-9902-29FE8B9378F5.png
    8752249A-1C5A-4D7A-9902-29FE8B9378F5.png
    120.4 KB · Views: 23
  • A9B7137C-3DEE-4FE6-9058-7A3CD3154D04.png
    A9B7137C-3DEE-4FE6-9058-7A3CD3154D04.png
    119.9 KB · Views: 20
  • 37145470-C357-4664-BFA4-F0EB428B8FC3.png
    37145470-C357-4664-BFA4-F0EB428B8FC3.png
    213 KB · Views: 20
  • F6181E78-A378-4031-810F-8E54619CF3DC.png
    F6181E78-A378-4031-810F-8E54619CF3DC.png
    215.3 KB · Views: 20
  • B5F91453-05C2-4DB6-8219-CAE923EEB28A.png
    B5F91453-05C2-4DB6-8219-CAE923EEB28A.png
    213.2 KB · Views: 19
  • 183D2FB9-0BB0-4A2E-AC52-FABDBFA1770D.png
    183D2FB9-0BB0-4A2E-AC52-FABDBFA1770D.png
    173.2 KB · Views: 18
  • 094A6D59-5A36-4798-8258-3453C258FB69.png
    094A6D59-5A36-4798-8258-3453C258FB69.png
    167.2 KB · Views: 18
  • 6B92ECE8-A6F9-4403-BFEB-B9F149CEB079.png
    6B92ECE8-A6F9-4403-BFEB-B9F149CEB079.png
    173.9 KB · Views: 17
Starting to see hints of the SW US death ridge in the LR, that’s the real deal pattern for NW flow around the SE
 
This May has me plain burnt out. 0 sun until possibly saturday. March like highs ( if GFS has its way February) , not a single thunderstorm since mid March . Straight 60 degree northeast wind drizzle. Not even april normally has sunless stretches like that.
 
Back
Top