Webberweather53
Meteorologist
The 12z EPS in Columbia, SC basically looks like the 0z EPS did for Greensboro
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May be?
- Thread starter GaWx
- Start date
The 12z EPS in Columbia, SC basically looks like the 0z EPS did for Greensboro
Still time for rain accumulation to continue to increase here right @Webberweather53 ?
accu35
Member
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If your at the coast than I say your rain chances will increase
smast16
Member
Mmm. Perfect. Right where I wanna before the inevitable over correction...
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
This isn't a precursor to an over correction, there's a very good reason the models suddenly shifted wetter here and the changes are likely real & still emerging as I've discussed in the new upper low thread.
It's definitely a far cry from those who thought the rain chances were basically disappearing next week.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
This correction is almost certainly due to the poorly forecast mesolow over the southern plains and diabatic outflow from TD one/Arthur to a lesser extent thereafter. Some of the synoptic tweak attributable to TD One/Arthur was already "baked" into the models yesterday imo
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
smast16
Member
This isn't a precursor to an over correction, there's a very good reason the models suddenly shifted wetter here and the changes are likely real & still emerging as I've discussed in the new upper low thread.
It's definitely a far cry from those who thought the rain chances were basically disappearing next week.
The rain gods are fickle creatures. I'm just trying a little reverse psychology on 'em.
LickWx
Member
Cold rain + an agricultural catastrophe of a flood? Yay. Summer where are you? Average highs are over 80 , why oh why so unstable this late into the year mother nature?
It hasn’t rained in 22 months. I better not see one drop of rain while I’m at Kiawah
Iceagewhereartthou
Member
pcbjr
Member
Gfs says no 90s here through 6/1
BufordWX
Member
If you like rain/storms, the rest of this month looks very promising.
MCS printer went brrr on the gfs, shows fri/sat/sun with MCSs or Convective clusters
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Starting to see hints of the SW US death ridge in the LR, that’s the real deal pattern for NW flow around the SE
Often with a good NW flow we can get good MCS' coming through....we'll see
Snowflowxxl
Member
pcbjr
Member
So does late May history repeat itself, 2 years in a row ? ... ?
LickWx
Member
This May has me plain burnt out. 0 sun until possibly saturday. March like highs ( if GFS has its way February) , not a single thunderstorm since mid March . Straight 60 degree northeast wind drizzle. Not even april normally has sunless stretches like that.
BufordWX
Member
Rinse and repeat on the Canadian. Lol.
Gfs said welcome to June 
LickWx
Member
cd2play
Member
Fear not! For the above normal temperatures will return just in time for December!
smast16
Member
I'll need to check this on my PWS, but I seriously feel like i've seen more time in the 30's this May than I have in the 70's for MBY.
Cadi40
Member
I don’t know about you guys but I’d be fine with a below average summer, We haven’t had one in a while.
accu35
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Thank you!!! I mean, we always have pretty hot summers and very high humidity. Couple years ago we had a fairly ok "coolish" summer and winter turned out great with 3 snow events for me. If we get a below average summer for at least half of it than bring it
Iceagewhereartthou
Member
Sounds good to me. I'll take a 2003 summer redo please, or even 2013!
cd2play
Member
2009 summer redo would be awesome. We had nights in the 50s in July and August
LickWx
Member
58 right now and breezy. These are late february averages . Record lowest high for today is 58 average is 80. High was in early morning though so record will stand.
SWB
Member
74 right now. Rain chances start slowly working way into Memorial day weekend.
BufordWX
Member
I gotta admit the weather this evening is absolutely gorgeous. The temperature is pleasant and there is hardly a cloud in the sky. A perfect evening if I do say so.
pcbjr
Member
Perfect report ... perfect way to look at things ...
Supercells ? 
Won’t be long before mr death ridge (wartime ridge ?) sets up and the ring of fire sets up and northern plains magic as reed timmer likes to call it becomes consistent, peep that 200mb anticyclonic flow near the Yucatán to which is favorable for TC development 
Keep hearing that...been going on about 6 weeks now. Hot death ridges right around the corner, cold biases, and all that. But...at some point we will have to pay the piper. So eventually, the ridge will be real. Not looking forward to that day.
This week into the weekend had decent potential to get fairly warm. Reminds me of winter where warm always finds a way
Yep, can’t avoid summer for ever, and plus
the SW US death ridge normally appears around June
smast16
Member
46 This morning, and a high of 52. Not projected to see to see 60 again till Friday morning. I'd love to see some Climatology on this? Does anyone have a link where i can find the record low maximum for this time of year?