May be?

[Myfrotho704_]

Both NAMs showing somewhat wicked parameters on Tuesday, one thing that stands out is they both support absolutely humongous hail on the north side of the boundary with large MUcape advection aloft, then south of the boundary, parameters increase to a tornado/huge hail/wind risk as things get more surface based, NAM is probably over doing it, but the hrrrv4 showed something similar, questionable thing is Convective coverage, but geez if you like hail this setup may be it
Worth noting you got all the ingredients for large hail in these soundings, very steep mid level lapse rates (7.5-8C+), large cape in the HGZ, off the deck inflow between 40-50kts, some dry air aloft, and over 50kts of 0-6km shear

 

[NorthDFWwx]

For all that is holy, please let the GGEM pull a coup late this week through early next week.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Some areas can’t get a break

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Lol it has just been a supercell bargain sale this year in SC

 

[Myfrotho704_]

is this threat thread worthy tho? Or wait till they upgrade

 

[Jessy89]

We are in the nam and hrrrr range


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[Myfrotho704_]

These hrrr soundings near clt is something else, lol

 

[SD]

is this threat thread worthy tho? Or wait till they upgrade

Any support?

 

[Jessy89]

Maybe this is worthy of a thread


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[Myfrotho704_]

Any support?

NAM3km/NAM12km, hrrrv4/hrrr show it, and the ECMWF, both of the NAMs is just more isolated (06z), also capping may be a issue with this setup

 

[mbway091]

Yeah I'd appreciate if you guys kept all that CAPE to yourselves down there.

 

[SD]

NAM3km/NAM12km, hrrrv4/hrrr show it, and the ECMWF, both of the NAMs is just more isolated (06z), also capping may be a issue with this setup

Fire away at a thread if you'd like

 

[SD]

Ouch

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Ouch
View attachment 40876

Boundaries setups for days this spring

 

[superjames1992]

Ouch
View attachment 40876

Miserable May.

 

[SD]

Boundaries setups for days this spring

ARW fires up the sup train tomorrow along wedge front

 

[NorthDFWwx]

is this threat thread worthy tho? Or wait till they upgradeView attachment 40871View attachment 40872View attachment 40873

Tuesday has been looking kind of sneaky lately.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

ARW fires up the sup train tomorrow along wedge front

View attachment 40878
View attachment 40877

 

[SD]

Miserable May.

I am really pulling for the wedge to lose tomorrow and hang/get pushed north of 40. Going to be 20-30 degrees different from one side to the other. When it comes to this weekend will be interesting to watch the models over the next 72 hours to see if they start to back off on the magnitude of the cold and depth of the troughing like we often see in winter.

 

[NorthDFWwx]

I am really pulling for the wedge to lose tomorrow and hang/get pushed north of 40. Going to be 20-30 degrees different from one side to the other. When it comes to this weekend will be interesting to watch the models over the next 72 hours to see if they start to back off on the magnitude of the cold and depth of the troughing like we often see in winter.

The 00z EURO was at least a step in the right direction.