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Wintry March 05-06th 2019 Wintry Weather

Models have been juicing up this system on the 12z runs, the ICON is much wetter as is the RGEM. Areas in SE NC may see a nice little flurry event and maybe even a dusting if the rates are hard enough.
 
Rain Cold said:
North, south, east, and west. It's been like this every winter for a long time now. Maybe a rogue snowflake will blow into the area.

Edit: And it is an exceptionally sad commentary in and of itself that we find ourselves wishing upon a star to see but a period of light flurry activity.
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I usually don't care for mood snow in March but an hour or two of snow tomorrow morning would have been nice.
 
Rain Cold said:
North, south, east, and west. It's been like this every winter for a long time now. Maybe a rogue snowflake will blow into the area.

Edit: And it is an exceptionally sad commentary in and of itself that we find ourselves wishing upon a star to see but a period of light flurry activity.
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Yeah but it'll be nice for the coastal areas to see some flakes fly if things work out... it's usually a bit harder for them to see snow and assuming models verify will be a nice treat for those folks.
 
The 12Z ICON, as just mentioned, is both the wettest overall and snowiest overall (central AL/GA, coastal NC) of any ICON run yet (Isn’t it warm biased? I think SC would also get some):
 

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snowlover91 said:
Yeah but it'll be nice for the coastal areas to see some flakes fly if things work out... it's usually a bit harder for them to see snow and assuming models verify will be a nice treat for those folks.
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Bit harder? Coastal NC has been killing it, wouldn't be surprised if they have had more snow than Raleigh the past 10 years. Just a few recent ones.

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KyloG said:
Bit harder? Coastal NC has been killing it, wouldn't be surprised if they have had more snow than Raleigh the past 10 years. Just a few recent ones.
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Regardless of what they've seen in recent years the snowfall climo for Wilmington is 1.6" as seen here. Any snow along the coast is a welcome bonus, if they see some I will be happy for them.
 
12Z gfs caving to the wetter Euro and other models: this is much wetter than prior runsCA042A41-3E05-4350-B870-C12CABB1AA1E.png
 
I think based on current modeling the areas with the best chance to see some snow will be AL/GA and then up into parts of NC. SC it looks like a warm bubble may cause boundary layer issues which is a shame as qpf looks solid in SC.
 
snowlover91 said:
I think based on current modeling the areas with the best chance to see some snow will be AL/GA and then up into parts of NC. SC it looks like a warm bubble may cause boundary layer issues which is a shame as qpf looks solid in SC.
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The warm Atlantic strikes again! Anyway, here’s the clown map for entertainment only (not buying it right now but gives up to 1” not far from @GeorgiaGirl by the way):9842603E-283E-4F18-A3E8-0D9A8AD00BC0.png
 
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