Tropical Major Hurricane Milton

[Downeastnc]

You can see the decaying eyewall from when Milton was a Cat 4 this morning...new eyewall is a hot mess when the plane sampled the NE quad surface winds were Cat 1-2 at best...seems likely the feared swath of 100 mph gust across Florida is less likely now.

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

Huge tornado on ground near fort pierce Florida. Max velocity is showing it on YouTube.

 

[Sctvman]

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

The ICON has been superb with Milton as well as Helene.

 

[GaWx]

18Z Icon: landfall 8PM TB ~2 hrs earlier than 12Z run had

 

[jrips27]

 

[Sctvman]

Denis Phillips on WFTS saying “we got lucky before, near misses. This is our storm”

 

[Arcc]

You can see the decaying eyewall from when Milton was a Cat 4 this morning...new eyewall is a hot mess when the plane sampled the NE quad surface winds were Cat 1-2 at best...seems likely the feared swath of 100 mph gust across Florida is less likely now.


View attachment 153075

Yeah for all practical purposes, the eyewall doesn’t exist anymore. Probably anything a hundred miles or so north and east of center could see damaging winds, but the “core” is pretty much gone.

 

[Mahomeless]

CAT 1 at landfall if they do a pass within an hour of it hitting. Storm surge looking pretty meager at this point as well.

 

[Sctvman]

Watching the weather streams and they are all focusing on the tornado warnings in Fort Pierce right now

 

[GaWx]

CAT 1 at landfall if they do a pass within an hour of it hitting. Storm surge looking pretty meager at this point as well.

Why are you saying storm surge looking pretty meager? Are you referring to a particular location or overall?

 

[Snowfan]

 

[Snowfan]

 

[jrips27]

 

[deltadog03]

I have had 2 warnings very close to me...1 east and 1 west...crazy.

 

[AJ1013]

I'm in disbelief at this tornado outbreak. Never seen anything like it down here, at least not in my lifetime.

Insane

 

[rburrel2]

The eye is going to have to get onshore before much surge can pour in. But like I said earlier in the week, I doubt anybody sees more than 6-8feet of surge with lack of a southern eyewall… a wide area will get some surge, but you won’t have that concentrated band of 12-15ft surge, imo.

 

[Snowfan]

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

The advertised turn back to the ENE movement is indeed happening. St. Pete soon to be in the northern eyewall.

 

[Snowfan]

 

[deltadog03]

it remains to be seen what the trend is...but it almost looks like it hit the breaks and is trying to more easterly now. Either way, what a day so far with all these tornado warnings.

 

[Carolina Jones]

Feel like we have seen more tornadoes than usual with tropical systems this year.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Sarasota into Bradenton going through it right now

 

[Brent]

Pressure down on recon

 

[GaWx]

Pressure down on recon

I saw ~946 mb extrapolated

 

[deltadog03]

Heck I would almost argue Milton looks better now than 4-6 hours ago.

 

[Ron Burgundy]

Heck I would almost argue Milton looks better now than 4-6 hours ago.

Thought the same. Sure looks to be wrapping up on the south eye wall

 

[jrips27]

 

[Ron Burgundy]

Here we go

Extreme Wind WarningFLC057-081-103-100130-/O.NEW.KTBW.EW.W.0001.241009T2236Z-241010T0130Z/BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTEDExtreme Wind WarningNational Weather Service Tampa Bay Area Ruskin FL636 PM EDT Wed Oct 9 2024The National Weather Service in Ruskin has issued a* Extreme Wind Warning for... Manatee County in west central Florida... Pinellas County in west central Florida... Hillsborough County in west central Florida...* Until 930 PM EDT.* At 635 PM EDT, National Weather Service Doppler radar indicated extreme winds, associated with the eyewall of Hurricane Milton, were moving onshore along a line extending from 6 miles southwest of South Bradenton to 25 miles southwest of Anna Maria to 52 miles southwest of Saint Armands Key, moving northeast at 30 mph. THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION!PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...TAKE COVER NOW! Treat these imminent extreme winds as if a tornadowas approaching and move immediately to the safe room in yourshelter. Take action now to protect your life!&&A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 PM EDT for west centralFlorida.LAT...LON 2812 8289 2815 8206 2739 8209 2739 8260 2735 8268 2786 8291TIME...MOT...LOC 2235Z 242DEG 27KT 2740 8267 2735 8309 2699 8334$$TBW

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

 

[lexxnchloe]

Sarasota a few minutes from the center. All that water being out with the east wind will rush in from the west in a few hours

Humidity	94%
Wind Speed	E 26 G 60 mph
Barometer	29.04 in (983.2 mb)
Dewpoint	77°F (25°C)
Visibility	2.00 mi
Heat Index	83°F (28°C)
Last update	9 Oct 5:53 pm EDT

 

[lexxnchloe]

https://radar.weather.gov/station/ktbw/standard

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

I see that the feeder band that produced all those tornados has pushed offshore. I presume the tornado risk is reduced? Tornados are not in my weather weenie wheelhouse.

 

[Arcc]

Definitely looking extra tropical on radar now.

 

[SD]

I see that the feeder band that produced all those tornados has pushed offshore. I presume the tornado risk is reduced? Tornados are not in my weather weenie wheelhouse.

Most likely S of the track

 

[SD]

View attachment 100924.mp4

 

[lexxnchloe]

 

[SD]

Wind Gusts
View attachment 100924.mp4

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

Once again, frictional convergence is doing its thing. The eye has tightened up right at landfall.

 

[SD]

View attachment 100924.mp4