The problem is that the storm will be in just as good of an environment once it begins to lift away from the Yucatan tomorrow another round of intensification is on the table. A more conventional 10-20 mile wide cat 5 eye probably.
Yeah, with this EWRC starting now, it will have some time to restrengthen. Also these smaller core storms will often start deepening faster after the new eyewall has taken over. I remember Andrew going through an EWRC between the Bahamas and Florida and it’s winds dropping back to 140mph, then on reanalysis a few years later the NHC found that it had gone up to cat 5 before landfall
Definitely rare territory when a hurricane drops past 900mb. Nothing really to slow it down. Really warm waters in gulf.
EWRC right?
Not too shabby for being in the middle of an EWRC lol.
certainly does..
Odds are the storm will undergo a couple of more EWR cycles before landfall.
Directly into Tampa and at a horrible angle for the bay too. Disastrous situation going to unfold.
Unlikely….MAYBE 1 more, but that’s a stretch IMO. Also have to start worrying about diurnal max timing at landfall
This exact catastrophic situation has been talked about for decades. I lived almost all of my life there in south Florida and it was the worst situation that could be imagined. I really hope it doesn't continue to materialize. But the models are converging on St. Pete and Tampa Bay and the clock is running out.
