Tropical Major Hurricane Milton

[NEGaweather]

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[Henry2326]

This thing is an over achiever. Way ahead of Hwrf, hmon, and the hafs to become a major.

 

[Brent]

NHC gonna have a long day


...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND MILTON A MAJOR HURRICANE...

Data from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aicraft indicate that Milton has
strengthened to a major hurricane. The maximum sustained winds are
estimated to be 120 mph (195 km/h). Milton is a category three
hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Data from
the aircraft also indicate that the minimum pressure has fallen to
954 mb (28.17 inches).

A special advisory will be issued by 7 AM CDT (1200 UTC) to reflect
this change and update the forecast.


SUMMARY OF 600 AM CDT...1100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.9N 92.4W
ABOUT 180 MI...285 KM WNW OF PROGRESO MEXICO
ABOUT 750 MI...1210 KM WSW OF TAMPA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 105 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...954 MB...28.17 INCHES

 

[Snowfan]

943.8 mb.
111600 2149N 09217W 6961 02697 9446 +188 +047 297016 030 026 002 00
111630 2151N 09216W 6962 02687 9438 +190 +049 122015 031 033 001 00
111700 2153N 09216W 6962 02713 9480 +169 +057 110044 049 039 000 03
111730 2154N 09217W 6965 02739 9542 +136 +069 083077 087 /// /// 03
111800 2154N 09220W 6954 02775 9591 +110 +076 056090 092 /// /// 03

 

[Shaggy]

He's going to be setting all kinds of RI records

 

[PEA_RIDGE]

Ol boy said hold my . I'm making a run for 900mb

 

[Snowfan]

Ol boy said hold my . I'm making a run for 900mb

If trends continue, probably will reach that by 12

 

[Metwannabe]

This is ridiculous

 

[Brent]

I knew that image last night was a bad sign but yikes

Still running ahead of even the strongest models...

 

[jrips27]

Only thing that can stop a run to Cat 5 might be the Yucatán

 

[SD]

You do have to wonder if it's going to drift south enough that it's going to wreck itself, until then though

 

[jrips27]

7:00 AM CDT Mon Oct 7
Location: 21.8°N 92.2°W
Moving: ESE at 8 mph
Min pressure: 945 mb
Max sustained: 125 mph

 

[Brent]

24H 08/0600Z 21.8N 89.3W 135 KT 155 MPH

 

[Arcc]

Hot towers still firing in the eyewall. I said last night about the 900mb level as more of a joke. I honestly think this may make a run for it in the next twelve hours.

 

[deltadog03]

You do have to wonder if it's going to drift south enough that it's going to wreck itself, until then though

I think it’s possible. All the short term models are busting right now except a few southerly ones. We shall see but heck I agree with you

 

[Henry2326]

06z HWRF.....4th run in sane spot. Lower pressure to 946.

 

[Brent]

It dropped 6-8 mb in one recon pass

The Yucatan better get busy disrupting it

 

[deltadog03]

Outside of the short term movement, the movement to the NE on a dime is what will be super interesting. Could be a Sarasota or Tampa landfall IMO.

 

[Belle Lechat]

24H 08/0600Z 21.8N 89.3W 135 KT 155 MPH

111400 2151N 09223W 6986 02740 9591 +122 +073 030052 082 134 045 00

Peak 10-second average surface wind speed occurring within the encoding interval from the Stepped Frequency Microwave Radiometer (SFMR), in kt.

 

[Henry2326]

You do have to wonder if it's going to drift south enough that it's going to wreck itself, until then though

Unfortunately not one model predicts that. But we can only hope.