Brett Adair will be the luckiest man alive if he makes this out alive.
What we've learned from Florence and Michael is that intensity forecasts are not very reliable. Track is much more reliable.
Yes and no. The Euro has been honking a fast strengthening hurricane, and the HMON and HWRF have performed very well. The problem is everyone didn't really believe them.
It's really quite sad. You just have to have the mentality that every storm has the capability of being a Cat 5.Yes and no. The Euro has been honking a fast strengthening hurricane, and the HMON and HWRF have performed very well. The problem is everyone didn't really believe them.
It's really quite sad. You just have to have the mentality that every storm has the capability of being a Cat 5.
That a strong TS right through Columbia
But I would think after the recent devastation in NC that would be fresh on people's minds. I guess people just have the mentality that it will never happen to them.I'm sure all those years of nothing happening(12 years without a major) probably set people that way too. I know even amateurs I've talked to didn't believe some of the models
I think he may have went to a house nearby. Not sure though.Oh wow that's actually Brett Adair's camera on TWC. He is in deep trouble. Yikes.
I just don't see how he survives this. He needs a miracle.i sure as hell hope he made it inside something. pretty sure his car is floating around in the surge now
It's actually making landfall right now.landfall imminent
130 at Tyndall AFBMexico Beach now reporting 116 mph wind gusts.
4It'll be like the Tuscaloosa tornado. EF4 or EF5? Don't know why it matters at all.
There’s a Marc Weinberg broadcasting on Facebook, he’s in the eyeIt's actually making landfall right now.
Just lost his feed I thinkThere’s a Marc Weinberg broadcasting on Facebook, he’s in the eye
917.3 on possibly the last pass.
Yeah I'm hoping one in the eyewall too. It may verywell be the determining factor of cat 5 and get us the final pressure minimum.Man I really hope we get at least one last sonde into the eye.
SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.0N 85.5W
ABOUT 5 MI...10 KM NW OF MEXICO BEACH FLORIDA
ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM SE OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH...250 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...919 MB...27.41 INCHES
Wow so close to a cat 5. Only 2 mph....MICHAEL INTENSIFIES AS IT MAKES LANDFALL NEAR MEXICO BEACH
FLORIDA...
...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...AND HEAVY
RAINFALL OCCURING OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...
SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.0N 85.5W
ABOUT 5 MI...10 KM NW OF MEXICO BEACH FLORIDA
ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM SE OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH...250 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...919 MB...27.41 INCHES