Henry2326
Member
I don't think I've ever seen a hurricane in this part of the Gulf not weaken before landfall. I know Opal weakened pretty significantly before landfall. I will be shocked if Michael doesn't weaken to 125-130 before landfall.
He is about to begin rapidly weakening.
Based on?He is about to begin rapidly weakening.
Who knows. But I will stick with history and say Michael will weaken 15-20 mph before landfall. Still a very bad storm either way. A hurricane can definitely weaken a lot though even in 4-6 hours.Or it could just maintain its current intensity. It's only 4-6hrs from landfall. Michael is clearly showing itself to be an anomaly compared to other GOM hurricanes.
Interaction with land is my guess.Based on?
Sadly yes that's is definitely true. If you look at Harvey, I'm sure the same situation is happening in terms of intensifying until landfall.Not until after landfall. There is absolutely nothing suggesting he is about to rapidly weaken, if anything pressure is slowly dropping still.
extremely cold cloud tops north and south of the eye, it is maintaining strength at the very least. friction from land will likely aid in the further tightening of the core.Interaction with land is my guess.
Interaction with land is my guess.
Starting to really suck in dry air from the west.....about to disrupt the core some. Could be the saving grace we need.
Storms that are intensifying can do so right until they are on land. A recent example of that is Harvey which continued to intensify until half the eye was over land. Recent hot towers and continued warming of the eye suggest this is at the very least maintaining strength if not steadily strengthening still.