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Tropical Major Hurricane Michael
- Thread starter ForsythSnow
- Start date
snowlover91
Member
Folks remember this image... because tomorrow this is going to be an absolute beast. The last time I saw a TC consistently maxing out the scale like this in the Atlantic was Wilma. Not saying it’ll get that strong at all but these extremely cold cloud tops wrapping completely around are extremely worrying. A high end cat 4 to low 5 is within the realm of possibility imo.
And slower, traveling parallel to the I-85 corridor thru AL/GA.
I'm noticing a NNW movement now as well and it appears he is picking up speed
accu35
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Yeah, NNW has been ongoing for a bit now. Gonna be interesting to see how far west he goes before the bend
Looks like he has ingested a little dry air, wishful thinking probably
pretty good tick to the NW
BHS1975
Member
Which is definitely a wild card as he gets further north out of the tropics.
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GFS had high PWATs and a good slug of upper air moisture up until landfall. Southern flow from around the ridge and from the digging trough looks to provide a very moisture rich environment.
Dont see any evidence of dry air intrusion. Probably just subsidence as that massive ring of convection is taking over.
Snowflowxxl
Member
FV3 at 30 is SE and stronger
Looks like GFS FV3 is going to look like last few runs .so far anyway
Snowflowxxl
Member
FV3 is SE. I think the models have come all in pretty good agreement
Major problem.
accu35
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Yep same, maybe 20 miles west
Well ATL would be on the NE quadrant not good for Central GA into ATL
A tad slower, much stronger, same track...
Might be a little SE once well inland
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Might be a little SE once well inland
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Well so far 00z runs are showing more strength potential for Michael .Let's see what the doc does
A tad slower, much stronger, same track...
Might be a little SE once well inland
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So far the trend tonight is stronger.
BHS1975
Member
Major problem.
Yeah it’s like it brought the tropical atmosphere along with it. Typically dry air is what keeps hurricanes from making landfall as cat 4s and 5s.
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