Tropical Major Hurricane Michael

[GaWx]

Michael is on solid NNWish motion now, and moving at a good clip. He suppose to be on a N/NNW path until tomorrow after noon. If he keeps on that path than he would be due south of Pensacola before the bend. That would put LF west of the current forecast track?

This current NNW motion was unanimously expected by the models/NHC, and it won’t last too much longer per the same sources.

 

[accu35]

Definitely continued NNW motion but again this is right on track I believe but anything can happen, I've got family in Ft. Walton Beach that will be watching when the turn happens. 50 miles west is the difference in 60-70 mph gust and 115 mph gust

Agreed.

 

[NWTENN]

That further W idea is much more concerning for the immediate coastline of Florida. Points East of PCB are fairly undeveloped, even a national forest there, and a wildlife management area. PCB west is solid development to the West side of Ft walton. It's going to make a major difference; especially if things comes in as mid cat 3 or higher. Not gonna be pretty.

 

[Snowflowxxl]

If the HWRF or FV3 is correct Atlanta is gonna be dealing with tropical storm conditions. Media really isn’t talking about it much.

 

[Showmeyourtds]

If the HWRF or FV3 is correct Atlanta is gonna be dealing with tropical storm conditions. Media really isn’t talking about it much.

Should we start “fearing the NW trend”?


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[whatalife]

and for good measure the Ukie

I’ll pass. I’m on the wrong side of that track . However, I actually favor Ukie’s track for Michael maybe just a little more NW though.


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[stormcentral]

 

[StoneMtnWx]

Looking at current visible/IR satellite loop, convection firing on S/E side trying to wrap around the eye over the past hour.

 

[Meteorologist1999]

I’ll pass. I’m on the wrong side of that track . However, I actually favor Ukie’s track for Michael.


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You are on the left side right. I am in Clarendon County close to Manning I think I’m on the worst side.

 

[Kylo]

Looking at current visible/IR satellite loop, convection firing on S/E side trying to wrap around the eye over the past hour.

Yikes, this won’t end well.

 

[DadOfJax]

Should we start “fearing the NW trend”?


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Yep

 

[Storm5]

Should we start “fearing the NW trend”?


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Not until January and February


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[BHS1975]

That further W idea is much more concerning for the immediate coastline of Florida. Points East of PCB are fairly undeveloped, even a national forest there, and a wildlife management area. PCB west is solid development to the West side of Ft walton. It's going to make a major difference; especially if things comes in as mid cat 3 or higher. Not gonna be pretty.

Unfortunately the ridge won’t let him go east.


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[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

The heaviest rain once inland may be on the West side of the storm.

 

[snowlover91]

Eye is really clearing out. This is probably a category 3 now IMO.

 

[snowlover91]

The heaviest rain once inland may be on the West side of the storm.

Yeah the northwest side due to the frontal enhancement will probably have the heaviest rains. Models showing a streak of 4-6" of rain to the NW of the center track for areas in GA, SC and NC.

 

[Storm5]

Looks like it’s on more of a due north heading . But I’ve looped the images so many times I don’t know what’s what


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[WXinCanton]

The heaviest rain once inland may be on the West side of the storm.

I've been noticing that, possible interaction with the cold front?

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

That further W idea is much more concerning for the immediate coastline of Florida. Points East of PCB are fairly undeveloped, even a national forest there, and a wildlife management area. PCB west is solid development to the West side of Ft walton. It's going to make a major difference; especially if things comes in as mid cat 3 or higher. Not gonna be pretty.

Indeed.

 

[Snowflowxxl]

Euro way stronger this run.