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Brick Tamland
Guest
Wow, Euro has really changed its tune the last 24 hours. Gone from having the weakest solution out of all the models to a cat 4.
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Tropical Major Hurricane Laura
- Thread starter GaWx
- Start date
Wow, Euro has really changed its tune the last 24 hours. Gone from having the weakest solution out of all the models to a cat 4.
Brent
Member
This is looking like a huge eye
I live just outside the current major impacts zone. I'll try to post obs as Laura gets closer and makes landfall.
Z
Zander98al
Guest
Give it about 12 more hours and youll probably see the ocean through it?
EPS ?
Henry2326
Member
accu35
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"Better to see you with my dear"
Rosie
Member
Stay safe.
Biiiig burst of convection on the SW side.
- I'm currently at 951 mb lowest/956 at landfall for my prediction.
- I found only 2 members of the 12Z EPS this time coming off the SE coast and then coming back into the SE US fwiw. A very highly unlikely scenario.
- I found only 2 members of the 12Z EPS this time coming off the SE coast and then coming back into the SE US fwiw. A very highly unlikely scenario.
Did the previous cones have it at Tropical Storm strength on the east coast?
If it manages to clear out some semblance of an eye within the next 6-8 hours, that would be ahead of schedule, correct?
Cadi40
Member
Is it just me or the NHC has the cone extremely north of the rest of the guidance once it’s inland?
At least once we get a clear eye from Laura tracking will be much easier.
iGRXY
Member
I am going anywhere from 940 mb to 945mb at landfall. Don't see anything stopping this from getting to Category 4 strength and I see TX/LA border to really central LA as the landfall spot. Those inland from Arkansas to Tennessee and then N Georgia and the Carolinas better watch out too.
Jessy89
Member
Chris justice has upstate sc mountains of nc and north Georgia gusting to 40-50mph Saturday isolated tornadoes also possible
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Jessy89
Member
I’ve been seen that and still thinking it hits far west Louisiana.
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I wonder if the remnants of Marco aren't creating a weakness near western LA pulling Laura in that direction. Also the Bermuda ridge that's supposed to keep her on a WNW track may not be quite as strong, which would have huge implications for southern Louisiana.
WEATHERBOYROY
Member
the longer it stays on the northern edge of guidance the less likely western La. gets the eye. It's about to cross 25 n lat. well ahead of guidance
Jessy89
Member
Yup and have for many days thought that
WEATHERBOYROY
Member
Pea ridge and Accu 35 seem to have it right to me . it's got to vary off the projected trajectory at this point to hit west of cerntral La. I 've seen these storms do crazier thing many times though!
Brent
Member
Definitely a better trend for Houston Galveston and who knows it might go more right than left
WEATHERBOYROY
Member
I see what appears to be the remnants of Marco sliding west just off the sw La coast...I wonder , as insignificant as it is, if it might affect the track of Laura?
NWMSGuy
Member
Are you thinking right shifts to the track are incoming?
MichaelJ
Member
I think the NHC has this pretty well pegged as far as the track, I still think it will come in at 935mb just east of the TX/La border with winds of 135. remember how fast Camille blew up overnight although most here probably weren't alive then.
WEATHERBOYROY
Member
I don't know if the NHC would change much yet without model support. the only 18z Hires I've seen is the nam3km. It actually tracks more west.
Who knows, may be right,? But as of right now there is a pretty big western shift needed to make up for lost time.
accu35
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Shes
Yes i do if I may say. Probably central/east Louisiana is my guess but again I can be wrong
NCSNOW
Member
Hopefully Uncle Si will be safe!
That would be a pretty significant jump. Have they had any evacuation orders go out in Eastern LA?
Winds up to 80 mph.
weatherboyy
Member
yes move nw not wnw nhc stop lie
Brent
Member
Landfall right at the TX LA border basically at 1am tomorrow night
As an FYI for everyone potentially affected post hurricane...the further west it goes, the further north from a latitude standpoint it will gain. Why the track went back north post tropical on the NHC update.
Again as accu said he could be wrong and I may be as well but I see a central la or east la landfall as well