Tropical Major Hurricane Laura

[Brent]

Alarming the eye is still open! If that closes it's gonna be even worse

URNT12 KNHC 260605
REPNT2

VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL132020
A. 26/05:08:50Z
B. 25.38 DEG N 089.98 DEG W
C. 700 MB 2922 M
D. 979 MB
E. 120 DEG 4 KT
F. OPEN E
G. C20
H. 85 KT
I. 078 DEG 26 NM 05:01:00Z
J. 157 DEG 91 KT
K. 079 DEG 30 NM 05:00:00Z
L. 86 KT
M. 046 DEG 28 NM 05:20:00Z
N. 140 DEG 104 KT
O. 046 DEG 33 NM 05:21:30Z
P. 12 C / 3049 M
Q. 15 C / 3054 M
R. 10 C / NA
S. 1234 / 7
T. 0.02 / 1 NM
U. AF309
1913A LAURA OB 31
MAX FL WIND 104 KT 046 / 33 NM 05:21:30Z
MAX FL TEMP 15 C 047 / 7 NM FROM FL CNTR

 

[Downeastnc]

That euro might verify at this rate. I could definitely see a Cat 4 tomorrow at some point

The NW quad still looks meh......though it does seem to be close to trying to close off a eye again...it still has some work to do to get to 935 MB.....need another plane in there ASAP....

 

[Brent]

The NW quad still looks meh......though it does seem to be close to trying to close off a eye again...it still has some work to do to get to 935 MB.....need another plane in there ASAP....

Oh I agree the satellite appearance is meh but apparently if you look at the VDM the eye is almost closed I'm a little surprised it's 105 already tbh

 

[Downeastnc]

IF the NW side can hold up a few hrs then its off to the races......

 

[Brent]

...LAURA EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY STRENGTHEN TO A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...
...FORECAST TO PRODUCE A LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, EXTREME
WINDS, AND FLASH FLOODING OVER EASTERN TEXAS AND LOUISIANA LATER
TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.1N 90.7W
ABOUT 315 MI...510 KM SSE OF LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA
ABOUT 335 MI...540 KM SE OF GALVESTON TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...973 MB...28.72 INCHES

 

[Brent]

Rapid improvement on IR and the eye is popping out

Recon is gonna be interesting

 

[NCSNOW]

 

[Downeastnc]

Be interesting to see what the recon finds, still struggling a bit to consolidate a eye at least on IR, seems to keep opening up on the west side.... also some warming cloud tops as well though some new taller tops south of the center, still less pink now than a few hrs ago........she has really expanded the CDO though....still this should be a easy 110-115 mph when the recon gets there.....

 

[ajr]

Be interesting to see what the recon finds, still struggling a bit to consolidate a eye at least on IR, seems to keep opening up on the west side.... also some warming cloud tops as well though some new taller tops south of the center, still less pink now than a few hrs ago........she has really expanded the CDO though....still this should be a easy 110-115 mph when the recon gets there.....

Yep...

095230 2625N 09046W 6967 02928 9781 +132 +132 131073 094 091 025 00
095300 2624N 09048W 6965 02920 9770 +127 //// 124062 068 095 011 01
095330 2622N 09049W 6964 02917 9749 +120 +115 124051 056 095 009 00

 

[ajr]

Down to 969mb

095800 2610N 09100W 6969 02877 9695 +134 +100 125015 018 024 001 03
095830 2608N 09101W 6967 02878 9696 +131 +117 127008 014 022 002 00
095900 2607N 09103W 6967 02876 9686 +140 +119 135001 003 021 001 03
095930 2605N 09103W 6970 02874 9688 +140 +120 296006 008 022 001 00
100000 2603N 09103W 6971 02874 9691 +138 +119 307013 017 024 003 03
100030 2602N 09105W 6954 02901 9690 +143 +114 317027 032 035 003 00
100100 2601N 09106W 6973 02888 9708 +135 +120 319045 052 042 004 00

 

[Arcc]

Looks like Katrina the night before.

 

[packfan98]

She’s a beast this morning!

 

[SNOWMANN]

She’s a beast this morning!

You can say that again.......

 

[Weatherlover92]

She's trying really hard to close off that eye. It looks like it's about 95% there.

 

[Arcc]

HWRF is picking up on what IR is showing. Pretty large eye which will be very stable and be harder to weaken by shear. Surge will be monumental.

6z HWRF looks like mid-930s and ~120Knts at landfall.

 

[Cary_Snow95]

Down to 953

 

[Tarheel1]

If you live in the Carolinas here is what you can do now. 1) fill up gas before the prices go up 2) clean storm drain debris 3) have batteries and flash lights ready to go in case weak tornadoes knock the power out 4) stock up on essentials/medications that do not need refrigeration

Stock up on birdseed!

 

[Tarheel1]

Forecast to be a cat 4 at landfall now! Per TWC

 

[DopplerWx]

Is the 953 reading legit? If so good god.

 

[Weatherlover92]

Down to 953

It may be safe to assume RI is or will be occurring now. That’s a big drop in pressure from the 969 mb reported an hour or so ago.