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Tropical Major Hurricane Laura

BULLETIN
Hurricane Laura Advisory Number 23
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132020
1000 AM CDT Tue Aug 25 2020

...LAURA MOVING ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...
...HURRICANE AND STORM SURGE WARNINGS ISSUED FOR THE NORTHWESTERN
GULF COAST...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.7N 87.0W
ABOUT 585 MI...940 KM SE OF LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA
ABOUT 620 MI...1000 KM SE OF GALVESTON TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES
Hurricane Watches are now upgraded to a Hurricane warning.
 
NWS GSP: Here are the 11 AM Key Messages for Hurricane Laura on Aug 25, 2020. Main concern for the western Carolinas and northeast Georgia is the potential for heavy rainfall Friday night and Saturday. Stay weather aware as the weekend approaches. #ncwx #scwx #gawx
 
I hope my personal opinion is wrong but I see it moving east a good bit

I agree, last night it took a western wobble( I think it adjusted for the separation caused by Cuba) but now it definitely seems to be more NW than WNW in movement. on the Northern side of the guidance . It should turn even more North as it draws closer to landfall. It is difficult for sure to track right now via satellite imagery without a defined eye ,so I think in a few more hours when a defined eye develops it will be easier to track.
 
If you live in the Carolinas here is what you can do now. 1) fill up gas before the prices go up 2) clean storm drain debris 3) have batteries and flash lights ready to go in case weak tornadoes knock the power out 4) stock up on essentials/medications that do not need refrigeration
 
If anything she will end up going more west towards Galveston. For those saying RI in here she has a lot of work to do on her northwest side for that to happen. She is tilted and her NW side is not forming convection that is wrapping back in. She may steadily strengthen but I would say not to expect much of any RI until maybe late tonight.

In addition she is right over the top of the cool eddy I mentioned yesterday in the Gulf.
 
NWS GSP: Here are the 11 AM Key Messages for Hurricane Laura on Aug 25, 2020. Main concern for the western Carolinas and northeast Georgia is the potential for heavy rainfall Friday night and Saturday. Stay weather aware as the weekend approaches. #ncwx #scwx #gawx
You left off the most important one. Cut the grass, so you want be raking afterwards
 
If you live in the Carolinas here is what you can do now. 1) fill up gas before the prices go up 2) clean storm drain debris 3) have batteries and flash lights ready to go in case weak tornadoes knock the power out 4) stock up on essentials/medications that do not need refrigeration

Will you be issuing public advisories for Laura?
 
Yikes. The super ensemble mean knows where the state borders are. Directly over Tennessee line before sagging a little south into Ashe County, NC. Finally some exciting weather to track for severe enthusiasts. 0AB93F4B-4DD9-41C5-86F3-1DF8E2BD7CF3.jpeg
 
If you live in the Carolinas here is what you can do now. 1) fill up gas before the prices go up 2) clean storm drain debris 3) have batteries and flash lights ready to go in case weak tornadoes knock the power out 4) stock up on essentials/medications that do not need refrigeration

Jeez you really think the Carolinas is gonna be hit hard it sounds. I think we see heavy rain for sure. Maybe a isolated tornado but hopefully it’s in and out fast whatever rain we see


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Change of tone today. Get those NOAA weather radios ready looks like a nighttime threat for the Carolinas. Brad P: “If we see a shift of the track closer to us and slower then we might see more rainfall Saturday. Stay tuned for now if we see a closer approach Saturday we could see more storms and even a severe risk especially if we see some cold front interaction as it sweeps in late Saturday #cltwx #ncwx #scwx #wncwx
 
Change of tone today. Get those NOAA weather radios ready looks like a nighttime threat for the Carolinas. Brad P: “If we see a shift of the track closer to us and slower then we might see more rainfall Saturday. Stay tuned for now if we see a closer approach Saturday we could see more storms and even a severe risk especially if we see some cold front interaction as it sweeps in late Saturday #cltwx #ncwx #scwx #wncwx
Mainly north of 40?
 
Looking at last nights Euro it appears part of the problem is a little dry air is being fed from the circulation of Marco into the west side of Laura. The Euro shows this issue slowly waning and pretty much eliminated twelve to eighteen hours before landfall.
 
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