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Tropical Major Hurricane Irma (Part 1)

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Two questions....why are these things trying to cut off and spin these days, when they used to be in a hurry of get out of Dodge. And, why, with hurricanes to the left and to the right, do they not want to give me any rain? Or very little to speak of? Some thing's fishy :) T
 
dsaur said:
Two questions....why are these things trying to cut off and spin these days, when they used to be in a hurry of get out of Dodge. And, why, with hurricanes to the left and to the right, do they not want to give me any rain? Or very little to speak of? Some thing's fishy :) T
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Sup Tony
 
dsaur said:
Two questions....why are these things trying to cut off and spin these days, when they used to be in a hurry of get out of Dodge. And, why, with hurricanes to the left and to the right, do they not want to give me any rain? Or very little to speak of? Some thing's fishy :) T
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Tony - it's poetic justice until winter ...

and 'Canes make not sleet ...
 
dsaur said:
Two questions....why are these things trying to cut off and spin these days, when they used to be in a hurry of get out of Dodge. And, why, with hurricanes to the left and to the right, do they not want to give me any rain? Or very little to speak of? Some thing's fishy :) T
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Maybe it's the JHS rain shield. I believe it has grown to cover parts of SC and GA now, as well as parts of NC. :p
 
Well, if there is a JHS rain shield that is expanding, it hasn't expanded to me lul. It hasn't rained as much lately but I might have had enough rain for the whole year over this summer.
 
accu35 said:
If south continues then indeed would be a great effect to the islands. For it to parallel with the islands it needs to turn now.
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Irma's circulation is also titled from south-north w/ the lower level circulation being displaced north of the MLC and the eye evident on satellite so it's not quite as far south as shown there but still notable...
 
accu35 said:
If south continues then indeed would be a great effect to the islands. For it to parallel with the islands it needs to turn now.
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Not only that, but a great effect to it's health as well. As Webb pointed out hours ago, the trend south not only puts more of the US in the line of fire, but also closer to the shreader.
 
... and we'll see tomorrow about whether it's NO, or JAX, or MIA, or TPA, or SVA, or OBX , or ... 'till then, sweet dreams (not sweat dreams - yet) everyone ... :p
 
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I'll take hurricane season as a warmer up to Winter in the SE, with each day this guy models a further southern track the more threatening and concerning I believe it will become for the East coast of the SE US
 
This doesnt mean much in the long range time frame, but it is very interesting. That is some fast flow toward and into the Caribbean. Wouldn't surprise me to see this keep trending south in the short term.

wg8dlm4.GIF
 
malak05 said:
I'll take hurricane season as a warmer up to Winter in the SE, with each day this guy models a further southern track the more threatening and concerning I believe it will become for the East coast of the SE US
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to be honest... the threat of her getting in the gulf is slowly increasing... especially the eastern gulf side...
 
deltadog03 said:
Yes sir. I’m curios to see when the SW motion will fully stop
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Yeah I am as well, which is why we can't really rule out a threat to the central or western Gulf yet because if this runs over Hispaniola and Cuba ends up being pinballed back into the extreme NW Caribbean or southeastern Gulf, it's an entirely different ball game
 
Webberweather53 said:
Yeah I am as well, which is why we can't really rule out a threat to the central or western Gulf yet because if this runs over Hispaniola and Cuba ends up being pinballed back into the extreme NW Caribbean or southeastern Gulf, it's an entirely different ball game
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agree with this 100 percent... folks along the whole gulf shore line up to cape cod need to watch closely.... unreal
 
I was looking over the 18z GFS, I noticed a slight wobble to the ENE, but the track is pretty much due north once Irma is north of the Bahamas. Is it odd for a hurricane to take a due north track like that? I say it's odd cause hurricanes normally come in at an angle and not straight up. I think Irma will be much closer to the coast or it could make landfall some where over FL if the WSW trend continues. I also find it odd that on the Euro, Irma follows the outline of the SE coast but offshore.
 
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Arcc said:
This doesnt mean much in the long range time frame, but it is very interesting. That is some fast flow toward and into the Caribbean. Wouldn't surprise me to see this keep trending south in the short term.

wg8dlm4.GIF
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That is a very deep layered ridge hard for it NOT to move SW in the short term
 
Webberweather53 said:
Yeah I am as well, which is why we can't really rule out a threat to the central or western Gulf yet because if this runs over Hispaniola and Cuba ends up being pinballed back into the extreme NW Caribbean or southeastern Gulf, it's an entirely different ball game
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Very good point. Remember that DR NO had it rolling through the straits at one point.
 
WeatherWatch said:
I was looking over the 18z GFS, I noticed a slight wobble to the ENE, but the track is pretty much due north once Irma is north of the Bahamas. Is it odd for a hurricane to take a due north track like that? I say it's odd cause hurricanes normally come in at an angle and not straight up. I think Irma will be much closer to the coast or it could make landfall some where over FL if the WSW trend continues. I also find it odd that on the Euro, Irma follows the outline of the SE coast but offshore.
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Matthew kind of did it last year... paralleled the FL/GA coast

also Joaquin in the Bahamas was going SW then did a 180 and went NE
 
Brent said:
Matthew kind of did it last year... paralleled the FL/GA coast

also Joaquin in the Bahamas was going SW then did a 180 and went NE
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I just find it odd that it had it going literally straight up. If Irma remains offshore of the southeast coast, I think it will move ENE and then make a turn to the NW or WNW making landfall over SC or NC, or in between. If Irma makes landfall over FL, I think it will track due north and bit, then turning to the NE or ENE, then NW or WNW making landfall again over SC/NC. Just some educated guesses.
 
Just getting in due to that crazy finish with Texas A&M...looks a tick south to me compared to 18z so far.
 
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