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Tropical Major Hurricane Irma (Part 1)

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Bending to the west
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Unlike button, please ...
 
12z Euro, that is not an OTS setup. Guys, I'm afraid that Irma will not stay out over open water. The time frame is getting behind 200hrs so the confidence is increasing that Irma will indeed effect the US.

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To quote one of my favorite Stallone movie of all time " Over the Top"
Wrt that ridge
 
12z Euro, that is not an OTS setup. Guys, I'm afraid that Irma will not stay out over open water. The time frame is getting behind 200hrs so the confidence is increasing that Irma will indeed effect the US.

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Be careful and don't fall into that trap, I agree to some extent but there are still lots to work out that could just as easily turn it ots..... 500 mb pattern still all over the place.
 
My guess is that a SC and/or NC landfall would follow on the 12Z Euro.
 
Still 9 to days out . LONG WAY TO GO WITH ALL SOLUTIONS STILL ON THE TABLE

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It would be an SC hit as it stands. Then there are two more behind it. Wonderful.
 
ULL in lower midsection of conus spares Fl but most likely sends it up to the Carolina's... yeah like Brent said kind of a Floyd redux, no thank you
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Dora was the last to do that (that I recall anyways) and it was a totally different set up - NE FL is not prone to "hits" due to coast line curvature ...
You are right, but still.
 
Actually looking at real frames, looks like it's gonna scrape/miss the majority of SC as it starts hooking to a NE motion off the coast!
 
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