Storm5
Member
I see yet another SW shift with the GEFS
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Tropical Major Hurricane Irma (Part 1)
- Thread starter Snowfan
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ForsythSnow
Moderator
Euro time. Looks a bit WSW at 24.
RollTide18
Member
New 12z GFS ENS spaghetti plot
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Okay these SW trends need to stop...
Think I'm glad I just purchased a chainsaw....
pcbjr
Member
From Allan -- speaks volumes:
Storm5
Member
One thing to notice on the ensembles is the post landfall tracks. Starting to see many tracks bend to the W/NW showing the building ridge over top
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I'm not sure how far west this can go, seems like that trough is going to be there so there is the weakness for it turn north at some point.... I just doubt this goes into GOM and if it did more like a NE gulf coast type of hit, or ride the spine of Fl, just my pure speculation/guess at this point. I still think Fl to NC is highest likely hood as of now....
HR48 euro is steaming almost due west...might get REALLY close to islands if it keeps that up
WeatherWatch
Member
With the ridge building over top, that's even more bad news. That means Irma could move slowly once inland or stall out which would mean significant flooding.
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Northern most Islands appear to take a hit this run on the Euro.... I'd think watches forthcoming for that area
on this heading could get close to PR? maybe just north?
PR definitely feeling the south side of Irma, their pucker meter is going up that's for sure
Ridge building in from the EAST as well
HR96 its JUST NE of the DR.....moving WMW and the trof looks like its pushing out and the ATL ridge is building W'ward
These shifts keep getting Irma closer and closer to the shredder....
Wow, this may be a landfall in FL/GA Per 12z Euro so far!!
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Yeah if this gets any closer to Hispaniola that could throw a massive wild card into its eventual track and would be very bad news for the west-central Gulf
Storm5
Member
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pcbjr
Member
... and if I may be so bold ... with all the good stuff here being provided gratis, a donation or two would not be out of the question or uncalled for ...
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