It's moving out faster too.
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Tropical Major Hurricane Irma (Part 1)
- Thread starter Snowfan
- Start date
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It's moving out faster too.
weatherguy
Member
18z GFS track so far is identical to 12z except the trough on 18z is lifting out little quicker and the ridge is holding a tad longer to the north.
Brent
Member
strongest Atlantic hurricane ever on the GFS at Jacksonville's latitude
K then
K then
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Reminds me of the NAM during Harvey. That isn't a good indicator.
Still a bit early to call for sure, but I think a US landfall will be further south and west than 12z was. (Maybe closer to VA)
Brent
Member
Lookout Outer Banks!!
I think I'll get my hurricane preps together just in case..... oh boy
weatherguy
Member
18z looks to be on track to NC/Chesapeake bay area, one the worst areas for surge. That 874 mb at hour 168 was crazy.
Brent
Member
maybe going up the Chesapeake this run
The 18z GFS have been trending south with every model run!! Could work it way back down to the SE before everything is said and done with trough moving out quicker!!
Inching closer and closer to the Outer Banks...
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Looks like a straight shot to Virginia Beach area, and straight up the Chesapeake Bay.
Not too far from making landfall at this point.
Brent
Member
when is the last GFS run that wasn't absolute doom? It's been awhile
Yesterday it was NYC or the Jersey Shore, today it's Cheaspeake Bay
Yesterday it was NYC or the Jersey Shore, today it's Cheaspeake Bay
One trend of concern is this turning north but actually the trough lifting out and the ridge bridging over the top and the left hook at landfall....
Brent
Member
958 mb over Washington DC!!
WATCH OUT TRUMP PER LATEST 18Z GFS!!
12z had center about 100 miles off Hatteras with lf on Delmarva, 18z about 25 miles off Hatteras and up the Chesapeake Bay... small differences but in the wrong direction!
Looks like Irma makes the first landfall across the southern tip of Maryland so I wasn't too far off in my prediction. lol
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