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Tropical Major Hurricane Irma (Part 1)

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metwannabe said:
So Met. Eric Blake over at the NHC may be reading your post? Lol.. on a complete side note I graduated HS with a girl by the name of Tammy Rhome, her brother happens to be Jamie Rhome, Storm Surge Specialist at the NHC.... sadly she and I have not kept up through the years stupid me, would be nice to have inside connections like that! Sorry I'll stay on topic
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Well you said it, we can only agree.
 
South AL Wx said:
I saw that James Spann addressed that too:

Seeing many bogus FB posts on Hurricane Irma. In fact, what this guy is doing is pretty much a federal crime by taking official National Hurricane Center graphics and then "doctoring them up" for clicks, likes, and shares. NOBODY knows the final destination of Hurricane Irma now, and nobody will know for 4-5 days. Please, think before you share.
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And it's really not only people on social media that hype up the storm. The headline on cnn.com right now is "Hurricane Irma could be the next disaster." This is not the time nor place for that headline. If you're going to put out a statement like that, at least wait until there is some model consensus and it is closer to the US. It's no wonder that meteorologists get a bad rap when people get their "forecasts" from the mainstream media.
 
Maybe it's just me but looks like the GFS is taking Irma a little more SW this run, no idea how this will effect how it ends but certainly could be an issue for the northern Islands... let's see where it goes
 
Sometimes I wonder if we'd have been better off without the existence of social media. I don't mean just in regard to weather predictions.
 
South AL Wx said:
And it's really not only people on social media that hype up the storm. The headline on cnn.com right now is "Hurricane Irma could be the next disaster." This is not the time nor place for that headline. If you're going to put out a statement like that, at least wait until there is some model consensus and it is closer to the US. It's no wonder that meteorologists get a bad rap when people get their "forecasts" from the mainstream media.
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It's CNN. What do you expect. They are classified as clickbait from what I have seen now as far as their article titles. I think that is just going too far.
GaWx said:
Sometimes I wonder if we'd have been better off without the existence of social media. I don't mean just in regard to weather predictions.
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I agree to some extent. Social media, which does spread info faster, is a good and a bad. The bad being it spreads irresponsible info from people faster because it looks far more entertaining or drastic than the realistic and well thought out info of others. People want crazy quite a bit of the time to share, so that's why we have this hype chaos.

Back on topic with Irma, yes, the GFS is a bit more west this run and slightly weaker. Also it may be premature, but I think the trough may dig a bit deeper this run, so maybe OTS or a hook into the NE. Let's just see where it ends up later this run.
 
ForsythSnow said:
It's CNN. What do you expect. They are classified as clickbait from what I have seen now as far as their article titles. I think that is just going too far.

I agree to some extent. Social media, which does spread info faster, is a good and a bad. The bad being it spreads irresponsible info from people faster because it looks far more entertaining or drastic than the realistic and well thought out info of others. People want crazy quite a bit of the time to share, so that's why we have this hype chaos.

Back on topic with Irma, yes, the GFS is a bit more west this run and slightly weaker. Also it may be premature, but I think the trough may dig a bit deeper this run, so maybe OTS or a hook into the NE. Let's just see where it ends up later this run.
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Or it could cutoff again which would be another option (the least desirable)
 
Irma's eye is attempting to clear out again, wouldn't be surprised to see it reintensify again potentially into an annular hurricane as early as later today given the environment it's currently embedded in
 
Well, this is pretty much a giving. OTS it is lol.
 
Eastern Trough is lifting out faster on 12z GFS vs 6z hr. 162

EDIT: This run will be further west than 6z, not sure about a US hit yet though.
 
gfs_mslp_pcpn_atl_29.png
If this thing dont cut the next 2 frames then watch out.
 
That dam high tho! It takes up the whole Atlantic Ocean!
 
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