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Tropical Major Hurricane Irma (Part 1)

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This run is going to be UGLY for Phil but hopefully it would weaken a good deal after spending that much time over Cuba before restrengthening over the very warm water.
 
So, this run is the first Euro with that extra data from that plane apparently. Will there be still more westward shifts?
 
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looks as if Irma last couple frames is SW motion.
 
Also, 0Z EPS mean is shifting similarly WSW by ~100 miles coming into far E Gulf.
 
You can also clearly see the current storm position is south of Oz gfs run. I believe.
 
I know there's a lot of focus on the US threat

But if this doesn't start lifting north this could be the most severe hurricane in the NE Caribbean in decades. Probably at least 1995 maybe back to Hugo
 
Brent said:
I know there's a lot of focus on the US threat

But if this doesn't start lifting north this could be the most severe hurricane in the NE Caribbean in decades. Probably at least 1995 maybe back to Hugo
Click to expand...
Yeah seems as Irma is still wobbling SW
 
I think our next recon will confirm our worst nightmare
 
just imagine what it's gonna look like in the Bahamas if it avoids land

recon should have a fix around 4am
 
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