Tropical Major Hurricane Irma (Part 1)

[NCSNOW]

Wonder where Jose ends up? Same building HP should send it west till a trough comes down

 

[Storm5]

CMC moving NW day 7

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[Tarheel1]

CMC 156

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Jose looking stout!

 

[Storm5]

CMC hour 174

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[PEA_RIDGE]

this scenario is not good at all for the costal states

CMC moving NW day 7

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[Storm5]

CMC landfall at 180

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[Storm5]

00z CMC took the route Webber talked about two days ago that weakens the storm allowing for a further west track

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[RollTide18]

CMC landfall at 180

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Dennis and Opal all over again

 

[SoutheastRidge]

CMC is probably best case scenario for the US

 

[Storm5]

Let's keep in mind this run of the CMC is an extreme western outlier. Even the ensemble members that make the gulf are not this far west

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[WeatherWatch]

Irma could go in the Gulf, it might end up being on of those last minute things that Irma may do.

 

[Storm5]

CMC is probably best case scenario for the US

Agree, weakens of shredder island , rides Cuba and weakens and makes landfall along the northern gulf coast much weaker vs a direct southern Florida hit

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[Jesse]

Irma could go in the Gulf, it might end up being on of those last minute things that Irma may do.

Like Katrina did?

 

[NCSNOW]

Jose ends up in the big apple

 

[billdurham]

Plain and simple.. this has the potential to be really bad.. no matter where it lands

 

[Weatherlover92]

Eh, I'm not sure I would call any scenario that allows Irma to reemerge out in open water a best case scenario in the case of the 00z Canadian. Granted, we wouldn't be talking about a Cat. 5 monster, but who knows for certain what Irma has the potential to do in the GOM if the environment/conditions are favorable enough for re-organization. Even moreso if Irma's core isn't completely disrupted crossing Cuba.
Case in point: Harvey. It went from a tropical wave to a Cat. 4 hurricane within 48hrs in the GOM.

That's just my two cents though.

 

[Jesse]

WELP.

 

[Webberweather53]

Thanks for letting me do the show, really appreciated... Hopefully we can make this a regular thing going into the winter.

 

[Brent]

if Irma is a Cat 5 or near it for the Leewards(which it has a real shot at this point) those sub 900 pressures in the Florida Straits may not be unrealistic

I have a met friend who messaged me earlier saying Keys 1935 could be challenged(892 mb, strongest US landfall on record)...same area too...

 

[SoutheastRidge]

Thanks for letting me do the show, really appreciated... Hopefully we can make this a regular thing going into the winter.

Thank you for your expertise and all you contribute.