Tropical Major Hurricane Florence

[Cary_Snow95]

12z Euro at 48 hours is actually further north than the GFS and down to 977

 

[RBR71]

I heard the ukie came in north. Anyone got maps?


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Best I got...

 

[Tarheel1]

Trends seem to have stopped with the southern movements!? SD might be able to use that kite after all! :weenie:

 

[Webberweather53]

I heard the ukie came in north. Anyone got maps?


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The 12z UKMET plowed into Myrtle Beach as a 950 hPa category 3 hurricane, this would wreak havoc across upstate SC and NC.

 

[RollTide18]

HWRF seems to be coming in very far south and is probably the furthest south now. Passing very close to the Northern Bahamas.

That would seem like a Floyd type track where it passes very close to Florida and then scoots up the coast.

Good to see the OTS possibility going up again though.

 

[ForsythSnow]

That would seem like a Floyd type track where it passes very close to Florida and then scoots up the coast.

Good to see the OTS possibility going up again though.

However the run just finished and it's headed more towards Jacksonville or Brunswick.

 

[Webberweather53]

This Euro run looks like it'll hit north of Charleston, SC if anywhere.

 

[mrdaddyman]

This Euro run looks like it'll hit north of Charleston, SC if anywhere.

Yeah, early on in the run it's coming in a hair North and a lot stronger this run. Ugh.

 

[Cary_Snow95]

I think we will see many more out to see members this afternoon reappear. At least compared to last nights runs

 

[Webberweather53]

Yeah, early on in the run it's coming in a hair North and a lot stronger this run. Ugh.

Both the ridge and the storm are stronger, this should be an interesting run.

 

[pcbjr]

it's headed more towards Jacksonville or Brunswick

such foul language cannot be tolerated ...

 

[ForsythSnow]

I'm sure the data from the flight that just wrapped up is being used this run. Next plane is on its way so we will probably have its data by 0Z runs.

 

[BHS1975]

Both the ridge and the storm are stronger, this should be an interesting run.

Battle royal


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[SD]

Euro will probably maintain the same track philosophy but be shifted north. Its really hauling ass between 72 and 96 hrs

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[Webberweather53]

This looks ominous for the Carolinas, even if it misses to the east the Outer Banks will be obliterated by storm surge alone.

 

[Cary_Snow95]

 

[Brick Tamland]

Battle royal


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More like Hell in a Cell.

 

[Webberweather53]

No troughs anywhere even in sight to sling this OTS, if it misses to the east it will be a slow, arduous crawl at best.

 

[RBR71]

Steadily strengthening through the run and on a bee line so far

 

[RollTide18]

No troughs anywhere even in sight to sling this OTS, if it misses to the east it will be a slow, arduous crawl at best.

The steering currents are very weak in the timeframe of landfall correct?

 

[SD]

Well

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[RBR71]

Looks like going to slam SE NC coast.... ru roh

 

[ForsythSnow]

Headed right into the NC/SC border or just north. No real major change from the past several runs in general. The ensembles will be very telling I'm sure.

 

[SD]

Looks like going to slam SE NC coast.... ru roh

Probably a fran like track.

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[Cary_Snow95]

Yep just trucks right into the coast.. not a pretty run

 

[Tarheel1]

Bye bye Myrtle and ocean isle on that run!

 

[Webberweather53]

Raleigh is going to take a Fran-esque beating this run.

 

[RBR71]

Probably a fran like track.

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I've got to stop thinking I can let my guard down.... dang it, need this to continue to trend north and east as in ots

 

[Brent]

Well at least the south trends stopped

 

[RBR71]

Double wow



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[Brick Tamland]

So, where does the Euro have her coming in and then going?

 

[Storm5]

Well that’s 3/3 all global models are NE of previous runs .


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[Webberweather53]

This run is not going to end well for Wilmington, Fayetteville, and Raleigh.

 

[Storm5]

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[SD]

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That's 25 miles from my house

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[Tarheel1]

We just got in on the fun!

 

[Brick Tamland]

So, Euro has her coming in around Wilmington and going through Raleigh?

 

[Storm5]

That's 25 miles from my house

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That would be a capital -----


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[BHS1975]

That's 25 miles from my house

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At least it’s not the right front quad. Big difference.


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[mrdaddyman]

Hey folks. I just grabbed this off Twitter courtesy of Harrison Trans. It's really cool.