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Tropical Major Hurricane Florence
- Thread starter ForsythSnow
- Start date
pcbjr
Member
Did I mistakenly eat a strange mushroom, or is this in reverse?
Brent
Member
GFS still gonna miss most of the coast it seems, maybe New England?
Haha sorry. Joking aside it's not an ideal setup to bring cooler weather to the SE. To really an enhance cooler weather in the eastern and southern US we would need a trough picking the system up. In this case we have a ridge building over top. Down the road in 10+ days florence might get captured by a trough and cooler weather be enhanced in the lakes, northeast and maybe mid atlantic
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Yep. Gfs got really excited about the trough with the Gordon remnants and dampened the ridge off of the EC and forced it a bit SE this allowed for a recurve even in the face of rapidly rising heights in the eastern US
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Brent
Member
GFS actually east of the 12z now lol, misses the coast entirely maybe?
pcbjr
Member
Just a respectful word or two of heed ... it is the 18z, and for now she's torn apart ... two parts of a multi-part equation that suggest what's on the left of the "=" sign is still being calculated ...
It may be far enough north on the gfs at 174 to get kicked out. If not this run is a slow loop with possibly a second run at the EC
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Snowflowxxl
Member
Long days ahead...
Gfs is about to go bombs away in the north atlantic. Strong jet incoming and florence just sitting there
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DT getting practice for winter!!:weenie::weenie:
It actually tied the system up into a front and strings it out. Still a strong system getting into the Canadian maritimes but nothing excessive. The net result of the whole construct and interaction is an omega block over the north Atlantic and a pseudo -nao.
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Brent
Member
FV GFS is also south of its last run
Anybody know this guy?? I hope the effects of his tweets, don’t affect the outcome!
pcbjr
Member
Or his use of improper English grammar ...View attachment 5886 Anybody know this guy?? I hope the effects of his tweets, don’t affect the outcome!
I have never seen this website before, I assume it's legit.... pretty awesome actually, has hi res Euro wind, precip, etc. Interestingscary movie here