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Tropical Major Hurricane Florence

Looks like a bit of a west Jog

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Yeah, plus Stormflurry
Looks like a bit of a west Jog

82097985.gif
Yeah, plus Stormsfury was saying Flo is tracking west or south of the forecast track? If I'm right
 
Anyone know where to get satellite loops with the NHC track overlay?


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Last 3 runs of both the GFS and Euro for 12z Thursday. Only the 0z/12z runs of the GFS though.

GFS definitely weaker with Bermuda ridge on past 3 runs. Euro slightly weaker today too.

GFSTrends5h.gif EuroTrends5h.gif
 
Last 3 runs of both the GFS and Euro for 12z Thursday. Only the 0z/12z runs of the GFS though.

GFS definitely weaker with Bermuda ridge on past 3 runs. Euro slightly weaker today too.

View attachment 6140 View attachment 6141

I think this has to do more with Florence trending stronger and breaking down the ridge more because the heights are trending higher in Quebec.


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Happening way too soon or hopefully so soon there will be others as it approaches landfall
EWRC is definitely underway as modeled. Great job on the HMON picking up on this yesterday. The new eye looks MASSIVE but it will likely shrink once it takes over.
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