• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Tropical Major Hurricane Florence

Some sporadic tropical downpours here today and looks like the mega band is settling in between Lumberton and Fayetteville
 
NCSNOW said:
Anybody got storm total rainfall so far. Notice in wilmington,onslow bay region it's still hammering heavy rain
Click to expand...
0.0001 here so far!
 
12z euro with 10 more inches here through Monday. 27 more just west of Fayetteville
d58198697443abbfd2d7f5f342ec4cb9.jpg


Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk
 
Brick Tamland said:
Maybe you should head to the coast of NC and help with the people that had their homes and businesses destroyed by flooding instead of complaining about not getting rain. It is becoming really annoying and absurd.
Click to expand...
I'm not sure what the expectation was either on the west side of a decaying tropical system. Just looked back at some old model runs and nothing had rain into the upstate until overnight.

Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk
 
Haven't lost power out this way yet. Heard about plenty of others and wind damage though.

Again, I am very happy we have the FV3 we can take quite seriously now along with the Euro! They've obviously done a great job on this future upgrade, in regards to fixing some tropical issues especially.
 
SD said:
12z euro with 10 more inches here through Monday. 27 more just west of Fayetteville
d58198697443abbfd2d7f5f342ec4cb9.jpg


Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
That’s crazy.

Looks like the band upstream is bulging slightly north again. After this lull, looks like it might start raining again here. The latest HRRRr shows most of the county picking up between 1.5 and 2.5 over the next 18 hours or so. If the Euro is going to be right, we need to get under that feeder band.
 
Rain Cold said:
That’s crazy.

Looks like the band upstream is bulging slightly north again. After this lull, looks like it might start raining again here. The latest HRRRr shows most of the county picking up between 1.5 and 2.5 over the next 18 hours or so. If the Euro is going to be right, we need to get under that feeder band.
Click to expand...
Its a hell of a gradient on the HRRR even just between our locations with more 6-8 type stuff here and 3-4 type stuff there. The Euro brings most of our precip during the late overnight through the day tomorrow as Florence gets more to our west and our flow flips to southerly.
 
Shawn said:
Haven't lost power out this way yet. Heard about plenty of others and wind damage though.

Again, I am very happy we have the FV3 we can take quite seriously now along with the Euro! They've obviously done a great job on this future upgrade, in regards to fixing some tropical issues especially.
Click to expand...

1300m said:
I'm going to want to see additional samples, but given the complexity of this setup - color me impressed!
Click to expand...

Webberweather53 said:
The Fv3 is a legitimate upgrade on the current operational GFS especially w/ more modern microphysics schemes, hopefully we can expect at least one or two similarly good performances w/ a winter storm this upcoming winter.
Click to expand...

Yes, I am glad we have GFS 2: Electric Boogaloo now and look forward to seeing how it does this winter.

Meanwhile, can Flo leave already?
 
SD said:
Its a hell of a gradient on the HRRR even just between our locations with more 6-8 type stuff here and 3-4 type stuff there. The Euro brings most of our precip during the late overnight through the day tomorrow as Florence gets more to our west and our flow flips to southerly.
Click to expand...
Just looking at TWC and their futurecast model, whatever that is, shoes exactly what you said. Meanwhile, that band has gotten more robust and is about to bring it again. Going out for a quick rain run. :)
 
Rain Cold said:
Just looking at TWC and their futurecast model, whatever that is, shoes exactly what you said. Meanwhile, that band has gotten more robust and is about to bring it again. Going out for a quick rain run. :)
Click to expand...
Congrats for y’all,really ecstatic!! Guess I’ll take my synoptic 1/2 inch and love it! What was I thinking
 
Tarheel1 said:
Congrats for y’all,really ecstatic!! Guess I’ll take my synoptic 1/2 inch and love it! What was I thinking
Click to expand...
Actually the 18z nams are way sw of 12z and get 1 inch totals all the way to the sc/ga border

Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk
 
SD said:
Actually the 18z nams are way sw of 12z and get 1 inch totals all the way to the sc/ga border

Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
We are doing nicely with rain so far where I am but it is having trouble getting to Greenville for sure. The radar seems to suggest we keep getting light to moderate rain for at least a few more hours. The heavier stuff probably comes in after midnight. Winds have not been bad here so far.
 
I think it's rained off and on for a couple hours. Lightly though. Not really hearing it at all since it's windy.

Road out front is wet.

Edit: Well it's actually raining pretty good now. Just not hearing it because of the wind.
 
The 12k Nam is so stupid. It shows dry here on several frames where it has been raining.
 
Rain Cold said:
The 12k Nam is so stupid. It shows dry here on several frames where it has been raining.
Click to expand...
Yep just looking at the NAM versus current radar.... it's way off. In fact looks like the rain shield sliding back north, you should stay in the rain for some time now not sure you get in the mega band but Shane certainly could.
 
metwannabe said:
Yep just looking at the NAM versus current radar.... it's way off. In fact looks like the rain shield sliding back north, you should stay in the rain for some time now not sure you get in the mega band but Shane certainly could.
Click to expand...
Yeah, I don’t think I’ll get the super heavy stuff. That’s fine. 6”ish is plenty. Shane can have the rest. Maybe he can send some Mack’s Way.
 
Hmm, it actually started raining pretty good again without me noticing since I was watching football. Not sure how much more we'll get until tomorrow though, as there isn't that much behind this band.
 
Does anyone have any accurate information on the actual scale of the flooding in NC, or SC for that matter? I'm finding reports of this town or that with flooding issues, some severe. But is every town seeing catastrophic flooding? Links or info appreciated. Thanks. This forum has been awesome through Florence.
 
NWTENN said:
Does anyone have any accurate information on the actual scale of the flooding in NC, or SC for that matter? I'm finding reports of this town or that with flooding issues, some severe. But is every town seeing catastrophic flooding? Links or info appreciated. Thanks. This forum has been awesome through Florence.
Click to expand...
There’s two death bands of rain that have been over SE NC for about 36 hours or so and are not moving by much. From coverage and radar obs, I know between Wilmington and Lumberton, have real bad flooding ongoing! NC has already beat the all time record for rainfall totals, and it’s still pouring! Some places have seen 24”+ by now, in localized spots
 
To early to even try and summarize things right now. Storm is about to cross halfway point. Can tell you as of 5 am this morning Swannsboro had had over 30 inches of rain and its rained there all day ,heavy at times. Interstate 40 from south of Raleigh to Wilmington is closed. Interstate 95 is closed. Govenor has asked no one from out of state to travel through NC , go around. The river flooding that we are fixing to endure, espeacilly along the Cape fear,lumber, neuse rivers is gonna be something to behold.

11 deaths so far
 
I think florence might actually be moving fast enough its noticeable now

Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top