Hopefully, by tonight models come into line on where this storm will make landfall. I have a feeling South Carolina may have a direct landfall from this storm.
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Tropical Major Hurricane Florence
- Thread starter ForsythSnow
- Start date
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
If this storm has any north movement right now it’s WWWWWWWNWWWW
I only see the ICON out to 63 on TT, but it is slightly SW of it's 6z counterpart at the same time.
It will still probably be a miss, because, well, it's the ICON and it doesn't want to come in.
It will still probably be a miss, because, well, it's the ICON and it doesn't want to come in.
Stormsfury
Member
Hurricane Florence has straddled 25.0°N for the past 6 hours buzzsawing west along it currently.
Interesting graphic a couple of days ago regarding storms located where Florence was just a few days ago with storms within 200 miles of Florence... 67 storms since 1851 back on Sept 7th or 8th were within that 200 miles. ZERO made landfall in the US.
Florence likely will be rewriting the rulebook.
Interesting graphic a couple of days ago regarding storms located where Florence was just a few days ago with storms within 200 miles of Florence... 67 storms since 1851 back on Sept 7th or 8th were within that 200 miles. ZERO made landfall in the US.
Florence likely will be rewriting the rulebook.
BHS1975
Member
RollTide18
Member
Got a friend that lives in Winston-Salem and warned her about the possibility of some flooding, although the more severe flooding will likely be to her east right?
Brent
Member
looking at satellite I think recon is just in time for a show
Going to be a Cat 4 today.
packfan98
Moderator
Wrong. The worst of the flooding could be to the East, West, South, or right over her backyard. Too far out to say with certainty.
ICON still slightly SW of the 6z at 72. Looking for it to stall off the coast again. Looking for the GFS to be another far eastern NC hit again. Wonder how long it will take the to cave (assuming the more left solutions are to be correct)?
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Looks like Flo is starting to hulk up.
snowlover91
Member
Well that's less than 200 years of history... so while it may have never happened in that time frame it doesn't mean it can't with the right setup and timing of features.
I'm most concerned about the surge along the coast and then the flooding inland. If this comes inland and stalls, dropping several feet of rain, there will be massive flooding for someone.
South AL Wx
Member
snowlover91
Member
ICON at hour 93 is west some and hits near MHX, coming into better agreement with the other models now.
Not just no landfalling systems, none even close......
RollTide18
Member
Well I didn’t tell her the last part but I did let her know about the storm though, I wasn’t sure enough.
SnowNiner
Member
Has there ever been a storm that ran perpendicular to the NC/SC coast and continued NW as the Euro shows? I can't remember it if one ever has. That's why I lean more toward a curve toward the N/NE as they all seem to do, affecting mostly eastern NC. I'd be very surprised if it didn't stay east. I know ridging and all, but we'll see.
Stormsfury
Member
As far as I know, only Hugo did such.