Could be good if it gets strong sooner. May bring about a favorable window for an ERC as it approaches the coast. Seen that happen many times.
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Tropical Major Hurricane Florence
- Thread starter ForsythSnow
- Start date
snowlover91
Member
Yep the NHC did a good job forecasting the RI potential too, kudos to them!
Stormsfury
Member
945mb pressure.
Looks like flight level 135kts!
Looks like flight level 135kts!
If it’s that far off on intensity’s, the North track it keeps showing, could be way off too!? How did the initial position on this run, compared to actually??
Yeah sadly everyone is saddled with the logic if GFS is this far off you can pretty much sense that it gives credance to the more southernly track
It looks like the GFS assumes a NW track right now. That's not reality right now. I don't know if that means anything or not, though.
GFS may not make landfall at all in this run.
Kylo
Member
Could the GFS be right, it's hundreds of miles NE of Euro at day 3.
Showmeyourtds
Member
Goofy gon’ Goof....jus’ saying. In this case though, I think we’d like to call in that favor.
Kylo
Member
UK landfall between ILM and Morehead City.
GFS slowing Flo way down @72 off the coast...
If the GFS turns out to be wrong, it's hard to understand how it could get more wrong as we get closer to 0 hour.
LovingGulfLows
Member
- Joined
- Jan 5, 2017
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This storm is very close to taking on the classic buzzsaw shape that you typically get with strong Cat 4 and Cat 5 hurricanes.
That's a shift back south... could be a good middle of the road track though
See Southern snowstorms
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Pray the GFS is on to something. Maybe the stronger Flo gets, the better chance it turns out to sea.
Goofus going nuts, down to 927 @84 still sitting off the OBX
and we must be overloading TT website, it's very slow
and we must be overloading TT website, it's very slow
Haha ridiculous
GFS is starting to stall off the outer banks at 90 hours and is down to 921 mb.